Stock Analysis

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (NYSE:AMR) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NYSE:AMR
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE:AMR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Alpha Metallurgical Resources

What Is Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Alpha Metallurgical Resources had debt of US$5.73m, up from US$4.70m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$296.1m in cash, so it actually has US$290.3m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:AMR Debt to Equity History January 31st 2024

How Healthy Is Alpha Metallurgical Resources' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Alpha Metallurgical Resources had liabilities of US$315.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$479.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$296.1m in cash and US$432.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$66.4m.

This state of affairs indicates that Alpha Metallurgical Resources' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the US$5.36b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Alpha Metallurgical Resources boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Alpha Metallurgical Resources if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 48% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alpha Metallurgical Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Alpha Metallurgical Resources may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Alpha Metallurgical Resources produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 72% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Alpha Metallurgical Resources has US$290.3m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 72% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$592m. So we are not troubled with Alpha Metallurgical Resources's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Alpha Metallurgical Resources is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Alpha Metallurgical Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.