Stock Analysis

Here's Why Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NasdaqGS:STLD
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Steel Dynamics

What Is Steel Dynamics's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Steel Dynamics had US$3.07b in debt in December 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$2.26b in cash, and so its net debt is US$813.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:STLD Debt to Equity History April 10th 2023

How Strong Is Steel Dynamics' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Steel Dynamics had liabilities of US$2.03b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.03b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$2.26b and US$2.06b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.75b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Steel Dynamics shares are worth a very impressive total of US$17.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Steel Dynamics has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.15. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 55.6 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Steel Dynamics grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Steel Dynamics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Steel Dynamics's free cash flow amounted to 44% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Steel Dynamics's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Steel Dynamics's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Steel Dynamics .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.