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Updated 2h ago
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Steel Dynamics, Inc.NasdaqGS:STLD Stock Report

Market Cap US$34.4b
Updated 2h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y83.5%
7D-0.9%
1D1.1%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

NasdaqGS:STLD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$34.4b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Overview

Operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. More details

STLD fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends4/6

Rewards

Trading at 20.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 16.58% per year

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for STLD from our risk checks.

STLD Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 60 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
11.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

STLD: Domestic Tariffs And U.S. Market Exposure Will Shape Future Performance

665
0
23
AN
AnalystLowTarget
6.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Aluminum Sheet Deficit And Utilization Dependence Will Pressure Future Margins And Earnings

61
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
22.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Aluminum Platform And Recycling Integration Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power

28
0
0

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
11.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

STLD: Domestic Tariffs And U.S. Market Exposure Will Shape Future Performance

665
0
23
AN
AnalystLowTarget
6.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Aluminum Sheet Deficit And Utilization Dependence Will Pressure Future Margins And Earnings

61
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
22.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Aluminum Platform And Recycling Integration Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power

28
0
0
View all narratives

Steel Dynamics, Inc. Competitors

Reliance

Symbol: NYSE:RS
Market cap: US$20.1b

Nucor

Symbol: NYSE:NUE
Market cap: US$58.9b

Ternium

Symbol: NYSE:TX
Market cap: US$11.4b

Commercial Metals

Symbol: NYSE:CMC
Market cap: US$7.4b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Steel Dynamics
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$239.79
52 Week HighUS$288.74
52 Week LowUS$129.41
Beta1.52
1 Month Change-6.25%
3 Month Change-11.90%
1 Year Change83.54%
3 Year Change142.92%
5 Year Change287.07%
Change since IPO5,049.85%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 10

Steel Dynamics: U.S.-Canada Tariffs Complicate My Plan To Buy The Dip

Summary Steel Dynamics is downgraded from hold to a cautious sell, anticipating a broad market-driven demand destruction event. Despite Q2 revenue up 33% to $6.1B and net income up nearly 80%, macroeconomic risks outweigh operational strengths. Canadian steel tariffs may support US prices, but their net effect is likely negligible due to balanced cross-border trade. I plan to wait for a sizable market-driven dip before initiating a position in STLD, given high-energy prices and systemic risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 05

STLD: High Steel Pricing Will Face Mounting Margin And Aluminum Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics higher to about $226 from $221, citing a mix of updated price targets around $260 to $300 and supporting research that points to margin focused growth projects and generally solid Q2 commentary across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Steel Dynamics shows a mixed setup, with headline targets in a wide band around US$260 to US$300 and a range of ratings from Buy to Neutral and Equal Weight.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 10

Steel Dynamics: U.S.-Canada Tariffs Complicate My Plan To Buy The Dip

Summary Steel Dynamics is downgraded from hold to a cautious sell, anticipating a broad market-driven demand destruction event. Despite Q2 revenue up 33% to $6.1B and net income up nearly 80%, macroeconomic risks outweigh operational strengths. Canadian steel tariffs may support US prices, but their net effect is likely negligible due to balanced cross-border trade. I plan to wait for a sizable market-driven dip before initiating a position in STLD, given high-energy prices and systemic risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 05

STLD: High Steel Pricing Will Face Mounting Margin And Aluminum Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics higher to about $226 from $221, citing a mix of updated price targets around $260 to $300 and supporting research that points to margin focused growth projects and generally solid Q2 commentary across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Steel Dynamics shows a mixed setup, with headline targets in a wide band around US$260 to US$300 and a range of ratings from Buy to Neutral and Equal Weight.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 22

STLD: Tight Supply And Record Shipments Will Support Earnings Power

Analysts have lifted the Steel Dynamics fair value estimate by $55 to $310, reflecting updated views on sector pricing, tighter supply conditions, and company margins, even as some Street price targets on the stock have recently been trimmed or reset. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Steel Dynamics highlights a mixed but generally constructive backdrop, with several firms fine tuning price targets and earnings expectations ahead of upcoming quarters.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 08

STLD: Higher Steel Pricing Assumptions Will Confront Softer EPS Guidance

Steel Dynamics' updated analyst price target has increased to $221.33 from $169.10, as analysts factor in firmer assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and sector pricing reflected in recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Steel Dynamics shows a mix of optimism on long term steel demand and more cautious views on earnings execution and valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 24

STLD: Higher Steel Prices And Tight Supply Will Support Future Earnings Power

The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has been raised from $255.91 to $272.09, as analysts factor in updated views on steel pricing, demand trends, and modest adjustments to long term revenue growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Steel Dynamics shows a mix of optimism on pricing power and demand, alongside caution tied to guidance, valuation, and the durability of higher steel prices.
Analysis Article • Jun 19

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Could Be 2% Below Fair Value After Stronger Guidance

Steel Dynamics (STLD) has put fresh numbers around its outlook, issuing second quarter 2026 earnings guidance of US$3.51 to US$3.55 per diluted share while flagging stronger steel and aluminum profitability. See our latest analysis for Steel Dynamics. The new guidance comes after a sharp pullback, with Steel Dynamics’ share price down 7.49% over the last session and 11.62% over the past week, yet still showing a 52.43% 3 month share price return and a 1 year total shareholder return of...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 06

STLD: Tariff Policy And Steel Pricing Cycles Will Shape Future Earnings Power

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics to $255.91 from $227.61 after a series of higher price targets across the Street, reflecting updated views on steel pricing, expected revenue growth, profit margins, and future price-to-earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research on Steel Dynamics has been active, with a mix of bullish and more cautious views feeding into the updated fair value estimate.
User avatar
New Narrative • May 07

Aluminum Sheet Deficit And Utilization Dependence Will Pressure Future Margins And Earnings

Catalysts About Steel Dynamics Steel Dynamics is a North American metals producer with operations in steel, metals recycling, fabrication and a growing flat rolled aluminum business. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 06

STLD: Tariff Policy And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Future Earnings Power

The updated fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics rises by about $35 to $227.61, as analysts factor in Street research that points to higher expected profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E, even as revenue growth assumptions and the discount rate are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics has focused heavily on valuation, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while at least one bearish analyst has shifted to a more neutral stance.
Analysis Article • Apr 23

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets

It's been a pretty great week for Steel Dynamics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:STLD ) shareholders, with its shares surging 17% to...
User avatar
New Narrative • Apr 23

Aluminum Platform And Recycling Integration Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power

Catalysts About Steel Dynamics Steel Dynamics produces steel, recycles metals, and is ramping a flat rolled aluminum business across North America. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 20

STLD: Tariff Policy And Valuation Assumptions Will Shape Earnings Outlook

Analysts have raised the price target on Steel Dynamics by about $4, citing updated views on fair value, profitability and future P/E assumptions supported by recent research from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics has focused on refining fair value estimates, with several major firms updating price targets and ratings in close succession.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 06

STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Shape Earnings And Capacity Use

Analysts trimmed their price target on Steel Dynamics by about $5 to reflect updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a lower profit margin and a higher future P/E, while recent Street research highlights mixed rating changes and refreshed 2026 outlooks for U.S. carbon steel equities. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Steel Dynamics offers a mix of optimism and caution, with analysts updating ratings and price targets as they refresh multi year views on U.S. carbon steel equities and factor in tariff and capacity trends.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 22

STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Outlook Will Drive Capacity Expansion And BlueScope Pursuit

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics by about $1.45 to $193.46, as they factor in slightly lower margin assumptions and refreshed price targets that now reflect updated 2026 outlooks for U.S. steel mills. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a split view, with some firms lifting price targets on the back of refreshed 2026 assumptions and others taking a more cautious stance on rating and upside potential.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 07

STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Guide Capacity And BlueScope Bid

Narrative update The updated analyst price target for Steel Dynamics of about $195, up from roughly $193, reflects refreshed 2026 outlooks in recent research. Analysts point to firm steel pricing supported by tariffs, capacity driven share gains for domestic mills, and mixed to positive expectations for sector profitability.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 20

STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Shape Capacity And Acquisition Path

Analysts have adjusted their views on Steel Dynamics, setting a refreshed analyst price target in the high $180s to low $190s range. This reflects updated 2026 outlooks that highlight expectations for firm steel pricing, ongoing tariff support, and a mixed but generally constructive profitability setup for U.S. mills.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 06

STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Outlook Will Balance Capacity And Acquisition Risks

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics shifts slightly higher to about US$193 from about US$191, as analysts factor in refreshed 2026 outlooks that point to resilient steel pricing, incremental capacity driven market share gains for domestic mills, and mixed but generally supportive expectations for sector profitability despite a challenging macro backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture for Steel Dynamics, with several firms lifting price targets while one high profile downgrade highlights growing valuation and execution questions into 2026.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 22

STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Sheet Mill Outlook Will Guide Balanced Returns

The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has increased from US$183.08 to US$191.28 as analysts factor in refreshed 2026 outlooks that assume firm U.S. steel pricing, incremental profitability improvement for sheet mills, and updated models following recent earnings and sector tariff expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Steel Dynamics point to a more mixed stance, with several firms lifting their price targets while some temper their ratings as they reassess 2026 assumptions and nearer term demand trends.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 06

STLD: Tariff Policy And Demand Rebound Will Shape Balanced Return Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics to about $183 per share from roughly $181, noting updated price targets from US$165 to US$185 and refreshed models that factor in a mixed demand backdrop across North America, China, the U.S. and Europe. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating price targets and ratings as they incorporate new macro views and refreshed models.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 17

STLD: Tariff Policy And Demand Rebound Will Drive Returns Ahead

Analysts have lifted their price target on Steel Dynamics by roughly $11 per share to about $181, citing refreshed models that balance a still challenging global demand backdrop with improving profitability and supportive U.S. and European demand trends. Analyst Commentary Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance, with recent revisions highlighting both upside potential and valuation constraints following the stock's strong run.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 02

STLD: Demand Recovery And Tariff Risks Will Shape Performance Ahead

The consensus analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has increased by $2.50, as analysts cite resilient U.S. and European demand and recent updates to price forecasts despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of optimism and caution regarding Steel Dynamics' outlook, with several notable price target adjustments and rating changes.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 18

STLD: Challenging Demand And Trade Risks Will Define Near-Term Performance

Analysts have slightly increased their average price target for Steel Dynamics by $0.83 to $167.42. They cite updated models and recent earnings, while highlighting ongoing valuation considerations and a persistently challenging demand environment.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 03

STLD: Domestic Tariffs And U.S. Market Exposure Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics from $153.83 to $166.58 per share. This change is due to upward price target revisions and model updates following recent earnings results and industry outlooks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 20

Domestic Reshoring And Low-carbon Investments Will Drive Long-term Metals Resilience

Analysts have raised their price target for Steel Dynamics from $151.50 to $153.83 per share, citing anticipated tariff benefits, resilient U.S. steel pricing, and an improved profit margin outlook as key factors supporting their updated valuation. Analyst Commentary Analyst perspectives on Steel Dynamics reflect a mix of optimism around near-term support and caution regarding the longer-term landscape for U.S. steel producers.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 05

Domestic Reshoring And Low-carbon Investments Will Drive Long-term Metals Resilience

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics from $149.58 to $151.50. This change is attributed to an improved domestic demand outlook, tariff benefits, and valuation premiums for U.S. mills.

Shareholder Returns

STLDUS Metals and MiningUS Market
7D-0.9%-2.5%-0.9%
1Y83.5%55.0%14.2%

Return vs Industry: STLD exceeded the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 55% over the past year.

Return vs Market: STLD exceeded the US Market which returned 14.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is STLD's price volatile compared to industry and market?
STLD volatility
STLD Average Weekly Movement5.8%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement9.7%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: STLD has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: STLD's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
199314,400Mark Millettwww.steeldynamics.com

Steel Dynamics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. It operates through four segments: Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, Steel Fabrication Operations, and Aluminum Operations. The Steel Operations segment offers hot rolled, cold rolled, and coated steel products; parallel flange beams and channel sections, large unequal leg angles, and reinforcing steel bars, standard strength carbon, intermediate alloy hardness, and premium grade rail products; engineered special-bar-quality products, merchant-bar-quality products, and other engineered round steel bars; channels, angles, flats, merchant rounds, and reinforcing steel bars; and specialty shapes and light structural steel products.

Steel Dynamics, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Steel Dynamics's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
STLD fundamental statistics
Market capUS$34.37b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.61b
Revenue (TTM)US$20.54b
21.4x
P/E Ratio
1.7x
P/S Ratio

Is STLD overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
STLD income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$20.54b
Cost of RevenueUS$17.53b
Gross ProfitUS$3.01b
Other ExpensesUS$1.40b
EarningsUS$1.61b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)11.21
Gross Margin14.65%
Net Profit Margin7.83%
Debt/Equity Ratio44.7%

How did STLD perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.9%
Current Dividend Yield
19%
Payout Ratio

Does STLD pay a reliable dividends?

See STLD dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy STLD by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Steel Dynamics dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 30 2026
Dividend Pay DateOct 09 2026
Days until Ex dividend17 days
Days until Dividend pay date26 days

Does STLD pay a reliable dividends?

See STLD dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/13 04:14
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Steel Dynamics, Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David GaglianoBarclays
Richard GarchitorenaBarclays
Katja JancicBMO Capital Markets Equity Research

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