Steel Dynamics, Inc.

NasdaqGS:STLD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$33.9b

Steel Dynamics Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 4/6

Steel Dynamics is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 0.9% that is well covered by earnings. Next payment date is on 10th July, 2026 with an ex-dividend date of 30th June, 2026.

Key information

0.9%

Dividend yield

2.3%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield3.2%
Future Dividend Yield1.0%
Dividend Growth13.6%
Next dividend pay date10 Jul 26
Ex dividend date30 Jun 26
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio22%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

New Narrative May 07

Aluminum Sheet Deficit And Utilization Dependence Will Pressure Future Margins And Earnings

Catalysts About Steel Dynamics Steel Dynamics is a North American metals producer with operations in steel, metals recycling, fabrication and a growing flat rolled aluminum business. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update May 06

STLD: Tariff Policy And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Future Earnings Power

The updated fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics rises by about $35 to $227.61, as analysts factor in Street research that points to higher expected profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E, even as revenue growth assumptions and the discount rate are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics has focused heavily on valuation, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while at least one bearish analyst has shifted to a more neutral stance.
Analysis Article Apr 23

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets

It's been a pretty great week for Steel Dynamics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:STLD ) shareholders, with its shares surging 17% to...
New Narrative Apr 23

Aluminum Platform And Recycling Integration Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power

Catalysts About Steel Dynamics Steel Dynamics produces steel, recycles metals, and is ramping a flat rolled aluminum business across North America. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Steel Dynamics: Tariff Benefits Strengthen In Q1

Summary Steel Dynamics has surged over 80% in the past year, fueled by steel tariffs supporting pricing and profitability. Q1 results showcased record steel shipments, robust EBITDA, and strong pricing, though U.S. manufacturing activity remains muted. STLD's aluminum plant is ramping up, expected to add $650+ million EBITDA and diversify earnings, with free cash flow inflecting positively in 2024. I maintain a "Hold" rating, viewing shares as fairly valued at ~15.5x earnings, with potential to add on pullbacks to ~$190. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 20

STLD: Tariff Policy And Valuation Assumptions Will Shape Earnings Outlook

Analysts have raised the price target on Steel Dynamics by about $4, citing updated views on fair value, profitability and future P/E assumptions supported by recent research from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics has focused on refining fair value estimates, with several major firms updating price targets and ratings in close succession.
Narrative Update Apr 06

STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Shape Earnings And Capacity Use

Analysts trimmed their price target on Steel Dynamics by about $5 to reflect updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a lower profit margin and a higher future P/E, while recent Street research highlights mixed rating changes and refreshed 2026 outlooks for U.S. carbon steel equities. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Steel Dynamics offers a mix of optimism and caution, with analysts updating ratings and price targets as they refresh multi year views on U.S. carbon steel equities and factor in tariff and capacity trends.
Narrative Update Mar 22

STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Outlook Will Drive Capacity Expansion And BlueScope Pursuit

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics by about $1.45 to $193.46, as they factor in slightly lower margin assumptions and refreshed price targets that now reflect updated 2026 outlooks for U.S. steel mills. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a split view, with some firms lifting price targets on the back of refreshed 2026 assumptions and others taking a more cautious stance on rating and upside potential.
Narrative Update Mar 07

STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Guide Capacity And BlueScope Bid

Narrative update The updated analyst price target for Steel Dynamics of about $195, up from roughly $193, reflects refreshed 2026 outlooks in recent research. Analysts point to firm steel pricing supported by tariffs, capacity driven share gains for domestic mills, and mixed to positive expectations for sector profitability.
Narrative Update Feb 20

STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Shape Capacity And Acquisition Path

Analysts have adjusted their views on Steel Dynamics, setting a refreshed analyst price target in the high $180s to low $190s range. This reflects updated 2026 outlooks that highlight expectations for firm steel pricing, ongoing tariff support, and a mixed but generally constructive profitability setup for U.S. mills.
Narrative Update Feb 06

STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Outlook Will Balance Capacity And Acquisition Risks

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics shifts slightly higher to about US$193 from about US$191, as analysts factor in refreshed 2026 outlooks that point to resilient steel pricing, incremental capacity driven market share gains for domestic mills, and mixed but generally supportive expectations for sector profitability despite a challenging macro backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture for Steel Dynamics, with several firms lifting price targets while one high profile downgrade highlights growing valuation and execution questions into 2026.
Narrative Update Jan 22

STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Sheet Mill Outlook Will Guide Balanced Returns

The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has increased from US$183.08 to US$191.28 as analysts factor in refreshed 2026 outlooks that assume firm U.S. steel pricing, incremental profitability improvement for sheet mills, and updated models following recent earnings and sector tariff expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Steel Dynamics point to a more mixed stance, with several firms lifting their price targets while some temper their ratings as they reassess 2026 assumptions and nearer term demand trends.
Narrative Update Jan 06

STLD: Tariff Policy And Demand Rebound Will Shape Balanced Return Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics to about $183 per share from roughly $181, noting updated price targets from US$165 to US$185 and refreshed models that factor in a mixed demand backdrop across North America, China, the U.S. and Europe. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating price targets and ratings as they incorporate new macro views and refreshed models.
Narrative Update Dec 17

STLD: Tariff Policy And Demand Rebound Will Drive Returns Ahead

Analysts have lifted their price target on Steel Dynamics by roughly $11 per share to about $181, citing refreshed models that balance a still challenging global demand backdrop with improving profitability and supportive U.S. and European demand trends. Analyst Commentary Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance, with recent revisions highlighting both upside potential and valuation constraints following the stock's strong run.
Narrative Update Dec 02

STLD: Demand Recovery And Tariff Risks Will Shape Performance Ahead

The consensus analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has increased by $2.50, as analysts cite resilient U.S. and European demand and recent updates to price forecasts despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of optimism and caution regarding Steel Dynamics' outlook, with several notable price target adjustments and rating changes.
Narrative Update Nov 18

STLD: Challenging Demand And Trade Risks Will Define Near-Term Performance

Analysts have slightly increased their average price target for Steel Dynamics by $0.83 to $167.42. They cite updated models and recent earnings, while highlighting ongoing valuation considerations and a persistently challenging demand environment.
Narrative Update Nov 03

STLD: Domestic Tariffs And U.S. Market Exposure Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics from $153.83 to $166.58 per share. This change is due to upward price target revisions and model updates following recent earnings results and industry outlooks.
Narrative Update Oct 20

Domestic Reshoring And Low-carbon Investments Will Drive Long-term Metals Resilience

Analysts have raised their price target for Steel Dynamics from $151.50 to $153.83 per share, citing anticipated tariff benefits, resilient U.S. steel pricing, and an improved profit margin outlook as key factors supporting their updated valuation. Analyst Commentary Analyst perspectives on Steel Dynamics reflect a mix of optimism around near-term support and caution regarding the longer-term landscape for U.S. steel producers.
Narrative Update Oct 05

Domestic Reshoring And Low-carbon Investments Will Drive Long-term Metals Resilience

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics from $149.58 to $151.50. This change is attributed to an improved domestic demand outlook, tariff benefits, and valuation premiums for U.S. mills.
Analysis Article Aug 16

Steel Dynamics, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

NasdaqGS:STLD 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Steel Dynamics's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
Analysis Article Aug 09

Is Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Jul 16

Returns On Capital At Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD) Have Stalled

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
Analysis Article Jun 10

Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD)

It's not a stretch to say that Steel Dynamics, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:STLD ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17x right...
Seeking Alpha Feb 24

Steel Dynamics: Trump Trade With Several Tailwinds

Summary The reshoring of industrial capacity from China to the U.S., driven by tariffs, will benefit U.S. steelmakers like Steel Dynamics. Steel Dynamics is well-positioned with competitive advantages in electric arc furnace technology, vertical integration, and value-added products. Strategic investments in new steel and aluminum mills are expected to significantly boost Steel Dynamics' EBITDA by $1.2 billion. I recommend a buy rating for Steel Dynamics with a target price of $170, anticipating increased demand and profitability in the new geopolitical landscape. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 12

Steel Dynamics: Tariffs Tailwind

Summary Steel Dynamics shares have surged 8.6% due to Trump's tariffs, making their products more competitive against imports. Trump's recent tariffs on steel and aluminum will further benefit Steel Dynamics by allowing them to price products higher without foreign competition. Despite conservative growth estimates, I believe Steel Dynamics will see accelerated growth, with potential for up to 29.7% upside in shares. The biggest risk is tariff removal, but Steel Dynamics remains competitive due to their efficient EAF furnaces, making shares a strong buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Upcoming Dividend Payment

TodayMay 11 2026Ex Dividend DateJun 30 2026Dividend Pay DateJul 10 202610 days from Ex DividendBuy in the next 50 days to receive the upcoming dividend

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: STLD's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: STLD's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Steel Dynamics Dividend Yield vs Market
How does STLD dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (STLD)0.9%
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.2%
Industry Average (Metals and Mining)1.5%
Analyst forecast (STLD) (up to 3 years)1.0%

Notable Dividend: STLD's dividend (0.9%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.41%).

High Dividend: STLD's dividend (0.9%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.21%).


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its low payout ratio (21.7%), STLD's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonably low cash payout ratio (46%), STLD's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/11 15:19
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Steel Dynamics, Inc. is covered by 32 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David GaglianoBarclays
Katja JancicBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research