Stock Analysis

Is Axogen (NASDAQ:AXGN) Using Too Much Debt?

NasdaqCM:AXGN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Axogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXGN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Axogen

How Much Debt Does Axogen Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Axogen had US$49.7m in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$24.5m in cash leading to net debt of about US$25.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:AXGN Debt to Equity History January 14th 2025

How Healthy Is Axogen's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Axogen had liabilities of US$23.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$69.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$24.5m and US$24.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$43.4m.

Given Axogen has a market capitalization of US$794.3m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Axogen can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Axogen reported revenue of US$181m, which is a gain of 19%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Axogen produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$8.5m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$9.9m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Axogen that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.