Axogen Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Axogen is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 72% and 15.5% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 75.3% per annum.
Key information
72.0%
Earnings growth rate
75.34%
EPS growth rate
| Medical Equipment earnings growth | 16.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 15.5% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 01 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 04
AXGN: BLA Approval And New Market Entry Will Drive Upside Potential
Axogen's analyst price target has been raised from $41.22 to $50.78, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and recent Street research highlighting the impact of Avance Nerve Graft's BLA approval and commercial expansion opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Axogen clusters around the impact of Avance Nerve Graft's BLA approval, expanded market exposure and revised fair value assumptions, with a series of price target moves anchoring the discussion.Analysis Article • Apr 30
Axogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXGN) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$50.78
It's been a pretty great week for Axogen, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXGN ) shareholders, with its shares surging 12% to US$41.77 in...Narrative Update • Apr 18
AXGN: BLA Approval And Market Expansion Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Narrative Update on Axogen Axogen's updated fair value estimate has moved by about $0.67, with analysts pointing to higher price targets around $40 to $42, supported by Avance Nerve Graft's FDA BLA approval, broader market expansion plans, and recent coverage highlighting its differentiated position in peripheral nerve repair. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Axogen has focused heavily on the FDA BLA approval for Avance Nerve Graft, higher price targets around the low $40 range, and the company’s focus on expanding into new clinical markets.Narrative Update • Apr 01
AXGN: BLA Approval Will Support Broader Peripheral Nerve Repair Adoption
Narrative Update on Axogen Axogen's analyst price targets have shifted higher into the low $40s, with analysts pointing to recent FDA BLA approval for Avance Nerve Graft, broader market expansion plans, and reduced risk following an equity raise as key supports for their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Axogen has centered on the FDA BLA approval for Avance Nerve Graft, the equity raise, and the company’s focus on peripheral nerve repair.Narrative Update • Mar 17
AXGN: BLA Approval Should Support Wider Nerve Repair Market Adoption
Analysts have nudged Axogen's fair value estimate higher, with the blended price target moving from about $39.20 to roughly $40.56 as recent FDA BLA approval for Avance Nerve Graft and broader market expansion potential support more constructive views on growth and profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a more constructive view of Axogen following FDA BLA approval for Avance Nerve Graft and a clearer path to broader market coverage and adoption.Narrative Update • Mar 03
AXGN: BLA Approval And Equity Raise Will Support 2026 Nerve Repair Rollout
Axogen's analyst price target moves higher, with recent Street research pointing to a range of $40 to $42 as analysts highlight the FDA BLA approval for Avance Nerve Graft, expanded market opportunities, and expectations for sustained revenue growth and improving profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around the FDA BLA approval for Avance Nerve Graft and how it could influence Axogen's growth, profitability, and valuation over time.Narrative Update • Feb 17
AXGN: Follow On Equity Raises Will Support Bullish 2025 Outlook
Analysts have slightly trimmed their average price target for Axogen, now reflecting a modestly lower assumed future P/E multiple while keeping fair value estimates around $37.33 and making only marginal adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin assumptions. What's in the News Axogen filed a follow on equity offering of up to $85 million in common stock, providing additional access to equity capital if the company chooses to proceed with the full amount.Narrative Update • Feb 02
AXGN: FDA Approval And Capital Raises Will Shape 2025 Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Axogen slightly higher to reflect a modest uptick in fair value estimates to about $37.33. This move is supported by marginally stronger assumptions for profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate, while other pricing inputs, such as future P/E expectations, remain roughly in line with prior views.Narrative Update • Jan 19
AXGN: Q3 Execution And 2025 Outlook Will Support Higher Confidence
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Axogen higher to US$37.00 from US$35.44, citing recent price target increases following Q3 outperformance and raised 2025 guidance as support for this updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around Axogen's Q3 performance and refreshed 2025 outlook, with multiple price target revisions framing how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth, and execution risk.Narrative Update • Jan 04
AXGN: Q3 Execution Will Support Confidence In Raised 2025 Outlook
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Axogen higher, lifting it by a few dollars per share into the mid 20 dollar range. They cite the company's Q3 sales beat, increased 2025 growth outlook, and continued confidence in its market development strategy as key drivers of sustained revenue expansion.Narrative Update • Dec 14
AXGN: Market Development Progress Will Support Confidence In 2025 Outlook
Axogen's analyst price target has been raised materially, increasing from about $29 to roughly $35. Analysts cite a Q3 beat, an improved 2025 sales growth outlook of at least 19 percent year over year, and continued confidence that the company’s market development strategy will support faster revenue growth even as margins normalize.Narrative Update • Nov 30
AXGN: Execution And Upgraded Outlook Will Support Measured Momentum Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target for Axogen by $0.63 to $29.13, citing better-than-expected third-quarter performance and a strengthened sales outlook that is expected to drive anticipated growth in the coming years. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have responded positively to Axogen's recent performance and guidance updates.Analysis Article • Nov 27
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Axogen (NASDAQ:AXGN)
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Narrative Update • Nov 16
AXGN: Strong Execution Will Drive Revenue Momentum With Upgraded 2025 Outlook
Axogen’s analyst price target has increased from $27.38 to $28.50 per share. Analysts cite strong quarterly results and higher fiscal 2025 growth guidance as supporting factors for this upward revision.Analysis Article • Nov 04
Axogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXGN) Looks Just Right With A 30% Price Jump
Axogen, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXGN ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The...Narrative Update • Oct 31
AXGN: Strong Sales Momentum And Upcoming FDA Decision Will Drive Future Upside
Axogen’s analyst price target has increased from $24.71 to $27.38. Analysts cite robust third-quarter performance and a heightened growth outlook for 2025 as the key drivers behind their upward revisions.Analysis Article • Sep 12
Axogen (NASDAQ:AXGN) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Axogen, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXGN) Shares Leap 29% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Those holding Axogen, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXGN ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last...New Narrative • May 29
BLA Approval Will Secure 12-Year Exclusive Market Position
Anticipated product approval and targeted commercial expansion are driving increased market share, revenue growth, and improved profitability potential.Analysis Article • May 10
Axogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXGN) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 32%
Axogen, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXGN ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 32...Analysis Article • Apr 17
Would Axogen (NASDAQ:AXGN) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Mar 26
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Axogen, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXGN) Price
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x Axogen, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXGN ) is a stock to...Analysis Article • Jan 14
Is Axogen (NASDAQ:AXGN) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Jan 07
Axogen: Well Placed To Capitalize Growth At Higher Multiples
Summary Axogen has surged 204% in 12 months, driven by strong sales growth, margin expansion, and efficient capital utilization, offering a favorable risk/reward profile. I get to projected revenues of $280-$350M by FY'26E with NOPAT of $30-$40M, and a valuation range of $22-$28/share, providing 68% upside potential. AXGN's key growth drivers include successful new facility operations, Avance segment progress, and high adoption rates of Axoguard HA and Avive+ products. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 24
Axogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXGN) Looks Just Right With A 29% Price Jump
Axogen, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXGN ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Analysis Article • Sep 14
Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding AxoGen, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXGN) Performance Completely
Despite an already strong run, AxoGen, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXGN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the...Analysis Article • Aug 20
Would AxoGen (NASDAQ:AXGN) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 378 | 13 | 40 | 52 | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 318 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 9 |
| 12/31/2026 | 271 | -21 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 238 | -31 | 8 | 16 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 225 | -16 | -5 | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 215 | -2 | 2 | 7 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 203 | -5 | 3 | 7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 195 | -7 | 0 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 187 | -10 | 0 | 5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 181 | -14 | -10 | -4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 173 | -17 | -15 | -7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 164 | -21 | -22 | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 159 | -22 | -21 | -6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 152 | -23 | -24 | -4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 148 | -23 | -27 | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 144 | -25 | -33 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 139 | -29 | -37 | -16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 134 | -29 | -41 | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 128 | -32 | -45 | -19 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 127 | -32 | -44 | -14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 127 | -27 | -42 | -13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 128 | -28 | -34 | -9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 131 | -22 | -27 | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 119 | -22 | -33 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 112 | -24 | -32 | -10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 108 | -25 | -36 | -16 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 103 | -29 | -37 | -20 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 108 | -28 | -29 | -19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 107 | -29 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 102 | -27 | N/A | -22 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 96 | -26 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 90 | -26 | N/A | -21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 84 | -22 | N/A | -18 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 77 | -20 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 71 | -18 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 65 | -12 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 60 | -10 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 55 | -14 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 50 | -14 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 45 | -14 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 41 | -14 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 38 | -12 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 34 | -13 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 30 | -13 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 27 | -13 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 24 | -16 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 21 | -16 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AXGN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: AXGN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: AXGN is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AXGN's revenue (15.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AXGN's revenue (15.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if AXGN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/25 15:39 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Axogen, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Caitlin Cronin | Canaccord Genuity |
| David Turkaly | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |
| Christopher Pasquale | Guggenheim Securities, LLC |