Stock Analysis

Ramaco Resources (NASDAQ:METC) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NasdaqGS:METC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ:METC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ramaco Resources

What Is Ramaco Resources's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ramaco Resources had debt of US$105.4m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from US$125.4m over a year. However, it does have US$42.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$62.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:METC Debt to Equity History November 10th 2023

How Healthy Is Ramaco Resources' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ramaco Resources had liabilities of US$142.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$151.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$42.9m as well as receivables valued at US$63.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$187.6m.

Ramaco Resources has a market capitalization of US$620.6m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With net debt sitting at just 0.51 times EBITDA, Ramaco Resources is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.7 times the interest expense over the last year. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Ramaco Resources if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 51% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ramaco Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Ramaco Resources produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 60% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Ramaco Resources is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its net debt to EBITDA. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Ramaco Resources's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Ramaco Resources you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.