Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Waterdrop Inc.'s (NYSE:WDH) Earnings Despite 25% Price Jump

NYSE:WDH
Source: Shutterstock

Waterdrop Inc. (NYSE:WDH) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 22% is also fairly reasonable.

Even after such a large jump in price, Waterdrop's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 19x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

We check all companies for important risks. See what we found for Waterdrop in our free report.

Waterdrop certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Waterdrop

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:WDH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 18th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Waterdrop's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Advertisement

Is There Any Growth For Waterdrop?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Waterdrop would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 127% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Waterdrop's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Waterdrop's P/E?

Waterdrop's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Waterdrop currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Waterdrop with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Waterdrop, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Waterdrop might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:WDH

Waterdrop

Through its subsidiaries, provides online insurance brokerage services to match and connect users with related insurance products underwritten by insurance companies in the People’s Republic of China.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

Advertisement