With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15x Assurant, Inc. (NYSE:AIZ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 35x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Assurant certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Assurant
Keen to find out how analysts think Assurant's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Assurant would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 43% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 46% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Assurant's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Assurant's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Assurant that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Assurant's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AIZ
Assurant
Provides business services that supports, protects, and connects consumer purchases in North America, Latin America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.