Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Overview
Provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
ACGL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Arch Capital Group Ltd. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$93.83 |
| 52 Week High | US$103.39 |
| 52 Week Low | US$82.45 |
| Beta | 0.33 |
| 1 Month Change | -2.23% |
| 3 Month Change | -4.11% |
| 1 Year Change | -0.85% |
| 3 Year Change | 24.94% |
| 5 Year Change | 132.14% |
| Change since IPO | 3,873.98% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
Arch Capital: Shrewd Capital Allocation And Underwriting Deliver In Q1
Summary Arch Capital Group maintains a disciplined underwriting approach, prioritizing margin preservation over growth amid pressured pricing environments. Q1 results reflect solid underwriting profitability, with an 81.7% combined ratio and $200 million in favorable reserve developments, underscoring conservative risk management. ACGL is aggressively repurchasing shares, with $783 million in Q3 buybacks and a projected $1.5–$2 billion for the year, enhancing EPS accretion. I reiterate a "Buy" rating on ACGL, targeting $9.35–$9.55 EPS and a potential re-rating to 12x earnings, or approximately $110 per share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 09
ACGL: Share Repurchases And Strong Margins Will Drive Future Returns
Narrative Update on Arch Capital Group The updated analyst fair value estimate for Arch Capital Group has increased by about $3 to $109.84. Analysts attribute this change to slightly higher expected profitability, a modestly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E following recent price target increases across several research firms.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
Arch Capital: Shrewd Capital Allocation And Underwriting Deliver In Q1
Summary Arch Capital Group maintains a disciplined underwriting approach, prioritizing margin preservation over growth amid pressured pricing environments. Q1 results reflect solid underwriting profitability, with an 81.7% combined ratio and $200 million in favorable reserve developments, underscoring conservative risk management. ACGL is aggressively repurchasing shares, with $783 million in Q3 buybacks and a projected $1.5–$2 billion for the year, enhancing EPS accretion. I reiterate a "Buy" rating on ACGL, targeting $9.35–$9.55 EPS and a potential re-rating to 12x earnings, or approximately $110 per share. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 09
ACGL: Share Repurchases And Strong Margins Will Drive Future Returns
Narrative Update on Arch Capital Group The updated analyst fair value estimate for Arch Capital Group has increased by about $3 to $109.84. Analysts attribute this change to slightly higher expected profitability, a modestly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E following recent price target increases across several research firms.Narrative Update • Dec 17
ACGL: Strong Underwriting Margins And Investment Income Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have modestly lifted their price expectations for Arch Capital Group, with the average target moving higher by about $2 to $3 per share, as they balance expectations for slowing top line growth with resilient underwriting margins and stronger net investment income. Analyst Commentary Street research continues to lean positive on Arch Capital, with multiple firms nudging price targets higher while acknowledging that the underwriting cycle is entering a more challenging phase.Narrative Update • Dec 03
ACGL: Strong Underwriting Margins And Investment Income Will Support Future Performance
The analyst price target for Arch Capital Group has edged higher by approximately $0.09 per share to about $107.56, as analysts cite resilient underwriting margins, growing investment income, and a relatively benign catastrophe backdrop, which partly offsets expectations for slower top line growth and a softening P&C cycle. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Arch Capital as a relative winner in a moderating property and casualty cycle, pointing to its durable underwriting discipline and growing investment income as key supports for earnings quality.Narrative Update • Nov 05
ACGL: Calm Hurricane Season Will Support Earnings Resilience Ahead
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Arch Capital Group upward, citing stable industry conditions and a resilient earnings outlook. The consensus fair value estimate has moved from $108.31 to $107.47.Seeking Alpha • Apr 11
Arch Capital Group: Solid Insurer At A Bargain Price
Summary Arch Capital Group is a large-cap, diversified insurance firm that has consistently grown book value and subsequent market price over the past decade. The management team at ACGL is highly experienced, now led by its long-term chief underwriter. Factors currently suppressing ACGL's market price are likely temporary headwinds. Compared against its peer group and its own historical price and performance, ACGL is significantly undervalued. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 13
Arch Capital: Attractive Even With Elevated Cat Losses In 2025
Summary Arch Capital's stock has been volatile, impacted by California wildfire losses, but core business performance remains strong with solid premium growth expected in 2025. The company faces headwinds from tax law changes and potential catastrophe losses, but reinsurance rate hikes and higher investment income offer upside. Arch's diverse portfolio, conservative investment strategy, and strategic capital deployment position it well for long-term profitability, despite near-term challenges. With nearly 20% upside potential and limited exposure to tariffs or recession, Arch Capital remains an attractive buy in an uncertain market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 10
Arch Capital Group: Recent Price Weakness Is A Buying Opportunity
Summary Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s recent share price weakness presents a buying opportunity due to its strong fundamentals and impressive growth history in the insurance industry. The company excels in P&C insurance and reinsurance, with a well-diversified business and a conservative risk management approach, leading to robust profitability. Arch's recent acquisition of Allianz’s U.S. commercial middle market and entertainment business enhances its diversification and scale, despite some integration risks. ACGL stock's valuation at 1.6x book value is attractive, given its high ROE and solid fundamentals, suggesting a potential upside of around 25%. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 03
Arch Capital: Hurricane Fears And M&A Concerns Are Likely Overdone
Summary Arch delivered solid Q3 results but concerns about its Allianz unit acquisition have weighed on shares. Q3 earnings were reduced by cat losses, with more losses likely in Q4, but given its diverse exposures, Arch remains profitable even during hurricanes. Recent management change has added to uncertainty, but its emphasis on strong underwriting remains in place. At less than 11x earnings, shares are attractive and can recover towards $108. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 16
Arch Capital: Navigating Insurance Cycles With Strong Pricing Power
Summary The U.S. property and casualty market is projected to grow at a 6.4% CAGR from 2024 to 2030, favoring Arch's diversified portfolio. In Q2 2024, ACGL's mortgage insurance segment maintained high credit quality, with 69.5% of new loans having FICO scores above 740. A 50-basis-point drop in interest rates could increase the Company's fixed-income portfolio by approximately $378 million. Arch Capital's forward P/E ratio is expected to decline to 11.78 by 2026, signaling an earnings growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 31
Arch Capital: Another Quarter Of Excellent Underwriting Creates Further Upside Potential
Summary Arch Capital Group shares have risen 26% over the past year but pulled back recently due to declining interest rates. Q2 results exceeded expectations, with strong underwriting results and solid segment performance, as the company continues to benefit from high home prices. Investment income is likely to rise over the next year as low-yielding securities mature. With favorable tailwinds, a diversifying business, and strong underwriting, Arch continues to be attractive. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 22
Arch Capital: New Trend At Play
Summary An economic/market outlook not factoring in the potential impacts of the U.S. budget deficit is not credible in my opinion. Macroeconomic factors are underpinning higher interest rates, which is fueling a new long-term price channel for Property & Casualty insurers. Arch Capital takes a diversified, growth-oriented approach. Its management team has proven itself over a long tenure of strong underwriting results. My price target on Arch is $118 looking out 12 to 16 months, which is a 23% upside. Using a more bullish target multiple of 12.5 presents a 45% upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 22
Arch Capital: Multiple Positives Could Drive The Stock Higher
Summary Arch Capital Group has a strong management team with effective strategies to drive growth. Arch Capital Group's business is diversified through many different lines of insurance. Strong book value growth is likely to drive strong stock performance in 2024. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 01
Arch Capital: Solid Underwriting Drives A Strong Q1
Summary Arch Capital reported solid Q1 results, with adjusted EPS beating expectations and net premiums written rising by 19.3%. The company's insurance unit saw growth in written premiums but a decrease in underwriting income due to the Baltimore bridge collapse. Arch's reinsurance unit experienced strong growth in premiums and underwriting income, with a decrease in the combined ratio, aided by higher prices. Its Allianz unit acquisition should help further diversify the business and reduce hurricane risk. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 08
Arch Capital: Record High P/B Is Too Rich
Summary Arch Capital is a multinational insurer with strong operating results and a bold rally in its stock price in 2023. The company's business model focuses on specialty insurance, with a diversified set of income streams that protect against cyclicality and high claims. ACGL has a strong balance sheet and a history of positive earnings growth, but the current stock price is overvalued, making it a sell. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| ACGL | US Insurance | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.2% | -0.7% | 2.6% |
| 1Y | -0.8% | -10.0% | 26.2% |
Return vs Industry: ACGL exceeded the US Insurance industry which returned -9.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ACGL underperformed the US Market which returned 31.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ACGL volatility | |
|---|---|
| ACGL Average Weekly Movement | 2.7% |
| Insurance Industry Average Movement | 4.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: ACGL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ACGL's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 8,000 | Nicolas Alain Papadopoulo | www.archgroup.com |
Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. Fundamentals Summary
| ACGL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$32.64b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$4.83b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$19.78b |
6.8x
P/E Ratio1.7x
P/S RatioIs ACGL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ACGL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$19.78b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$11.99b |
| Gross Profit | US$7.79b |
| Other Expenses | US$2.95b |
| Earnings | US$4.83b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 13.89 |
| Gross Margin | 39.37% |
| Net Profit Margin | 24.43% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 11.3% |
How did ACGL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 06:53 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is covered by 31 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Taylor Scott | Barclays |
| Jay Gelb | Barclays |
| Michael Zaremski | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |