Arch Capital Group Ltd.

NasdaqGS:ACGL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$35.3b

Arch Capital Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Arch Capital Group's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 5.2% and 4.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 1.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.2% in 3 years.

Key information

-4.4%

Earnings growth rate

-1.55%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth4.1%
Revenue growth rate-5.2%
Future return on equity13.16%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated12 Feb 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Arch Capital's Measured Underwriting Is Underappreciated

Feb 10

Arch Capital Group: Solid Insurer At A Bargain Price

Apr 11

Arch Capital: Attractive Even With Elevated Cat Losses In 2025

Mar 13

Arch Capital Group: Recent Price Weakness Is A Buying Opportunity

Jan 10

Arch Capital: Hurricane Fears And M&A Concerns Are Likely Overdone

Nov 03

Arch Capital: Navigating Insurance Cycles With Strong Pricing Power

Oct 16

Arch Capital: Another Quarter Of Excellent Underwriting Creates Further Upside Potential

Jul 31

Arch Capital: New Trend At Play

Jul 22

Arch Capital: Multiple Positives Could Drive The Stock Higher

May 22

Arch Capital: Solid Underwriting Drives A Strong Q1

May 01

Arch Capital: Record High P/B Is Too Rich

Feb 08

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:ACGL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202818,1123,840N/AN/A1
12/31/202717,4743,853N/AN/A6
12/31/202616,8303,500N/AN/A5
12/31/202519,9294,3596,1286,172N/A
9/30/202519,5434,0566,2956,341N/A
6/30/202519,1563,6946,1276,173N/A
3/31/202518,1723,7266,5226,567N/A
12/31/202417,4404,2726,6226,673N/A
9/30/202416,8675,6716,7126,765N/A
6/30/202415,4745,4066,6656,717N/A
3/31/202414,4074,8086,2946,350N/A
12/31/202313,6344,4035,6975,749N/A
9/30/202312,7302,9285,0165,066N/A
6/30/202311,7872,2224,4234,476N/A
3/31/202310,8391,9554,1774,227N/A
12/31/20229,6131,4363,7663,816N/A
9/30/20228,8551,2003,5903,634N/A
6/30/20228,5701,5823,2283,269N/A
3/31/20228,9261,8523,1773,217N/A
12/31/20219,2482,0943,3843,425N/A
9/30/20219,3132,0133,1353,183N/A
6/30/20219,5242,0333,1323,177N/A
3/31/20219,2491,6582,9953,039N/A
12/31/20208,5091,3642,8472,887N/A
9/30/20207,8761,1472,8002,837N/A
6/30/20207,2471,1202,6182,658N/A
3/31/20206,7311,2902,3872,424N/A
12/31/20196,9261,5952,0112,048N/A
9/30/20196,5371,405N/A1,981N/A
6/30/20196,2581,240N/A1,775N/A
3/31/20195,8891,014N/A1,395N/A
12/31/20185,451714N/A1,559N/A
9/30/20185,520791N/A1,155N/A
6/30/20185,595521N/A1,058N/A
3/31/20185,592462N/A1,311N/A
12/31/20175,627567N/A1,095N/A
9/30/20175,194425N/A1,420N/A
6/30/20174,912726N/A1,389N/A
3/31/20174,696757N/A1,258N/A
12/31/20164,464665N/A1,377N/A
9/30/20164,377655N/A1,227N/A
6/30/20164,112483N/A1,154N/A
3/31/20163,941387N/A1,235N/A
12/31/20153,937516N/A998N/A
9/30/20154,049672N/A1,045N/A
6/30/20154,109821N/A969N/A
3/31/20154,120913N/A924N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ACGL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.4% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ACGL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ACGL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ACGL's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ACGL's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.2% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ACGL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/12 12:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/12 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Arch Capital Group Ltd. is covered by 30 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jay GelbBarclays
Taylor ScottBarclays
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research