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Assured Guaranty Ltd.NYSE:AGO Stock Report

Market Cap US$4.0b
Share Price
US$84.65
My Fair Value
US$105.75
20.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y6.5%
7D1.2%
Portfolio Value
View

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

NYSE:AGO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.0b

Assured Guaranty (AGO) Stock Overview

Provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. More details

AGO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends5/6

AGO Community Fair Values

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US$106.5
FV
20.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
-2.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
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about 2 months ago author updated this narrative

Assured Guaranty Ltd. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Assured Guaranty
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$84.65
52 Week HighUS$96.50
52 Week LowUS$74.09
Beta0.90
1 Month Change2.98%
3 Month Change-2.81%
1 Year Change6.46%
3 Year Change74.72%
5 Year Change231.44%
Change since IPO370.28%

Recent News & Updates

Assured Guaranty's Cannibalistic Share Repurchases Still Creating Value

Aug 26

Recent updates

Assured Guaranty's Cannibalistic Share Repurchases Still Creating Value

Aug 26

There's No Escaping Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Muted Earnings

Aug 01
There's No Escaping Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Muted Earnings

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Low P/E

May 01
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Low P/E

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Passed With Ease

Feb 18
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Passed With Ease

Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Jan 23
Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Assured Guaranty Stock: Why It's Not For Me

Dec 27

With EPS Growth And More, Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Makes An Interesting Case

Nov 04
With EPS Growth And More, Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Makes An Interesting Case

Benign Growth For Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) Underpins Its Share Price

Oct 06
Benign Growth For Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) Underpins Its Share Price
User avatar

Merger And Share Repurchase To Boost Efficiency But Facing Diminishing Margins And Legal Risks

Merger with Assured Guaranty Inc. aims for capital efficiency and operating improvements, indicating potential for future cost savings and operational effectiveness.

Assured Guaranty's Accretive Buybacks Continue To Grow Intrinsic Value

Aug 09

Here's Why We Think Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Jul 29
Here's Why We Think Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Low P/E

Jun 05
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Low P/E

Here's Why Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Apr 28
Here's Why Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.31

Feb 25
Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.31

Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market

Jan 19
Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s (NYSE:AGO) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market

Assured Guaranty Poised To Benefit From End Of Puerto Rico Saga And Asset Management Sale

Nov 10

Assured Guaranty: Waiting For A Better Valuation

Aug 22

New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO)

May 26
New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO)

Shareholder Returns

AGOUS InsuranceUS Market
7D1.2%1.3%-0.6%
1Y6.5%1.4%16.8%

Return vs Industry: AGO exceeded the US Insurance industry which returned 1.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AGO underperformed the US Market which returned 16.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AGO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AGO volatility
AGO Average Weekly Movement2.5%
Insurance Industry Average Movement4.0%
Market Average Movement6.4%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.0%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: AGO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: AGO's weekly volatility (2%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2003361Dominic Fredericowww.assuredguaranty.com

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments.

Assured Guaranty Ltd. Fundamentals Summary

How do Assured Guaranty's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AGO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$4.03b
Earnings (TTM)US$464.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$891.00m
8.7x
P/E Ratio
4.5x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AGO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$891.00m
Cost of RevenueUS$66.00m
Gross ProfitUS$825.00m
Other ExpensesUS$361.00m
EarningsUS$464.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)9.75
Gross Margin92.59%
Net Profit Margin52.08%
Debt/Equity Ratio29.7%

How did AGO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.6%
Current Dividend Yield
14%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/09/28 18:32
End of Day Share Price 2025/09/26 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is covered by 12 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Giuliano Anderes BolognaBTIG
Giuliano Anderes BolognaCompass Point Research & Trading, LLC
Darin AritaDeutsche Bank