Goosehead Insurance, Inc.

NasdaqGS:GSHD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7b

Goosehead Insurance Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 2/6

Goosehead Insurance has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 43.7%, while the Insurance industry saw earnings growing at 12.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 21% per year.

Key information

43.73%

Earnings growth rate

38.14%

EPS growth rate

Insurance Industry Growth8.02%
Revenue growth rate21.03%
Return on equityn/a
Net Margin7.95%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Goosehead Insurance: Secular Pressures Merit Caution

Apr 24

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns Despite AI Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Goosehead Insurance, with the fair value estimate moving from about $73.00 to roughly $66.58. They are factoring in lower price targets across the Street and a reduced future P/E assumption tied to concerns about growth headwinds and potential AI-related risks.

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Offset AI Disruption Concerns

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $3.70 to $73.00 as they factor in softer projected growth, slightly lower margins and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. They still see AI related disruption risks as more limited than some headlines suggest.

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have lowered the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $14.82 to $76.73 as they factor in revised price targets, modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer margin expectations, and updated views on growth resilience and AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mixed but engaged analyst view on Goosehead Insurance, with several firms trimming price targets while maintaining generally constructive ratings.

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by about $21 to $118.94. This reflects refreshed assumptions around growth, profitability, and valuation multiples following recent research updates that highlight both AI-related competitive questions and ongoing expectations for solid organic expansion.

GSHD: Refined Assumptions And Franchise Expansion Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Even with the $14 reduction to the price target, bullish analysts see the revised figure as consistent with a constructive view on Goosehead Insurance, with the change described more as a recalibration of assumptions than a shift in overall stance.

The Price Is Right For Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (NASDAQ:GSHD) Even After Diving 33%

Feb 11
The Price Is Right For Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (NASDAQ:GSHD) Even After Diving 33%

GSHD: Reset Expectations And Consistent Execution Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have lowered their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated views on the company’s growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are treating the lower price target as a reset rather than a loss of confidence, with recent commentary focusing on how updated growth and margin assumptions feed into new P/E expectations.

GSHD: Higher Investment Spend And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to $140 from $150, citing lower price targets, trimmed long term growth and margin expectations, and higher assumed discount rates following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Goosehead Insurance highlights a more cautious stance on near term earnings and investment spending, but there are still several points that more optimistic voices are watching closely.

GSHD: Increased Investment Spending Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Goosehead Insurance, trimming expectations by roughly $10 to $15 per share as they factor in higher investment spending, softer renewal commission retention, and near term margin pressure, while maintaining unchanged long term growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Goosehead Insurance, with modestly lower price targets but generally constructive long term views on growth and execution.

GSHD: Incremental Investment Spending Will Set Up Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to approximately $91.55 from about $90.82. This reflects expectations for slightly faster top line growth, offset by near term margin pressure and elevated investment spending that has led to a series of reduced but still generally constructive price targets across the Street.

GSHD: Increased Investment And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Goosehead Insurance, as slightly lower projected revenue growth and margins, along with increased investment spending and softer renewal commission retention, have led to a trimmed fair value estimate from about $93.70 to roughly $90.82 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Goosehead Insurance, with valuation adjustments driven more by updated assumptions on growth, retention, and spending than by a fundamental change in the long term narrative.

GSHD: New Investment Spend Will Support Long-Term Earnings Stability

Analysts have lowered price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing incremental expenses from new investments and softer commission retention. Recent target cuts have ranged from a reduction of $10 to $23 per share.

GSHD: Market Share Expansion Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Sector Headwinds

Goosehead Insurance's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $93.70 from $98.10. Analysts cite lower renewal commission retention, increased investment-related expenses, and reduced revenue growth and profit margin projections following recent price target cuts.

Analysts Offer Mixed Outlook on Goosehead Insurance Amid Modest Growth and Valuation Adjustments

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing slightly softer expectations for growth and profitability. Targets have dropped by as much as $10 to $150 and $5 to $85, reflecting concerns about slower sales growth and a more competitive pricing environment in the sector.

AI And Digital Platforms Will Fuel Insurance Excellence

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance from $109.70 to $101.30. They cite softer forecasts for new sales growth and commission retention expectations, despite improvements in profit margin and future earnings projections.

Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) Price In Tune With Revenues

Jul 08
Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) Price In Tune With Revenues

Goosehead Insurance: Balancing Franchise Reacceleration, Mixed Industry Outlook

Apr 28

Here's Why Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Feb 02
Here's Why Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Revenues Tell The Story For Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) As Its Stock Soars 31%

Nov 12
Revenues Tell The Story For Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) As Its Stock Soars 31%

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Passed With Ease

Oct 24
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Passed With Ease
User avatar

Leveraging Technology And Expansion To Surge In The Personal Insurance Market

Goosehead Insurance's focus on technology-enhanced productivity and strategic workforce expansion signals strong potential for accelerated revenue growth.

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) 53% Share Price Surge

Jul 26
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) 53% Share Price Surge

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Presents An Opportunity

Jul 24
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Presents An Opportunity

Getting In Cheap On Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Might Be Difficult

Apr 28
Getting In Cheap On Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Might Be Difficult

Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Not Flying Under The Radar

Jan 06
Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Not Flying Under The Radar

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Goosehead Insurance makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NasdaqGS:GSHD Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 2638230850
31 Dec 2536528790
30 Sep 2535330740
30 Jun 2534130730
31 Mar 2532531700
31 Dec 2431430700
30 Sep 2428319660
30 Jun 2427519660
31 Mar 2426616630
31 Dec 2326014630
30 Sep 2325411630
30 Jun 232416630
31 Mar 232253620
31 Dec 222081590
30 Sep 221910560
30 Jun 221752510
31 Mar 221604470
31 Dec 211505430
30 Sep 211458400
30 Jun 211357360
31 Mar 211279310
31 Dec 201169270
30 Sep 20956230
30 Jun 20853220
31 Mar 20741210
31 Dec 19774200
30 Sep 19784190
30 Jun 19734180
31 Mar 1968-6170
31 Dec 1860-9140
30 Sep 1856-9130
30 Jun 1851-9110
31 Mar 18470100
31 Dec 17420100
31 Dec 1631560

Quality Earnings: GSHD has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: GSHD's current net profit margins (7.9%) are lower than last year (9.5%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GSHD's earnings have grown significantly by 43.7% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: GSHD's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: GSHD had negative earnings growth (-1.9%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Insurance industry average (33.7%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: GSHD's liabilities exceed its assets, so it is difficult to calculate its Return on Equity.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 05:57
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Goosehead Insurance, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Joshua ShankerBofA Global Research
Ryan TunisCantor Fitzgerald & Co.