Stock Analysis

Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Not Flying Under The Radar

NasdaqGS:GSHD
Source: Shutterstock

Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.8x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Goosehead Insurance

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:GSHD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 6th 2024

How Goosehead Insurance Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Goosehead Insurance as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Goosehead Insurance's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Goosehead Insurance's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 33% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 166% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 29% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 4.3% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Goosehead Insurance is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look into Goosehead Insurance shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Goosehead Insurance you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.