Stock Analysis

We Think Nu Skin Enterprises (NYSE:NUS) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NYSE:NUS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:NUS) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Nu Skin Enterprises

How Much Debt Does Nu Skin Enterprises Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Nu Skin Enterprises had debt of US$420.1m, up from US$369.0m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$255.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$164.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:NUS Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2023

A Look At Nu Skin Enterprises' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nu Skin Enterprises had liabilities of US$372.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$558.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$255.5m in cash and US$60.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$616.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Nu Skin Enterprises has a market capitalization of US$1.81b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Nu Skin Enterprises's net debt is only 0.80 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 16.3 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that Nu Skin Enterprises's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 52% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nu Skin Enterprises's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Nu Skin Enterprises produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Nu Skin Enterprises's EBIT growth rate and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Nu Skin Enterprises is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Nu Skin Enterprises (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.