Stock Analysis

Herbalife's (NYSE:HLF) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

NYSE:HLF
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Herbalife Ltd.'s (NYSE:HLF) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline numbers were soft, we believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Herbalife

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:HLF Earnings and Revenue History February 21st 2024

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

For anyone who wants to understand Herbalife's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit was reduced by US$53m due to unusual items. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Herbalife doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Herbalife's Profit Performance

Unusual items (expenses) detracted from Herbalife's earnings over the last year, but we might see an improvement next year. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Herbalife's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 5 warning signs (2 are significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Herbalife.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Herbalife's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Herbalife is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.