Stock Analysis

Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NasdaqGS:REYN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (NASDAQ:REYN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Reynolds Consumer Products

What Is Reynolds Consumer Products's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Reynolds Consumer Products had US$2.09b in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$73.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$2.01b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:REYN Debt to Equity History June 17th 2023

How Strong Is Reynolds Consumer Products' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Reynolds Consumer Products had liabilities of US$490.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.55b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$73.0m and US$363.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.60b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Reynolds Consumer Products has a market capitalization of US$5.93b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Reynolds Consumer Products has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.3 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Another concern for investors might be that Reynolds Consumer Products's EBIT fell 14% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Reynolds Consumer Products's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Reynolds Consumer Products produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Both Reynolds Consumer Products's EBIT growth rate and its net debt to EBITDA were discouraging. But its not so bad at converting EBIT to free cash flow. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Reynolds Consumer Products's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Reynolds Consumer Products (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.