Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that CONMED Corporation (NYSE:CNMD) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for CONMED
What Is CONMED's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 CONMED had US$1.04b of debt, an increase on US$982.3m, over one year. However, it also had US$27.8m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.01b.
How Healthy Is CONMED's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CONMED had liabilities of US$353.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.19b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$27.8m as well as receivables valued at US$229.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.29b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because CONMED is worth US$3.30b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 2.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.4 hit our confidence in CONMED like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, CONMED saw its EBIT tank 21% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CONMED's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, CONMED produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
To be frank both CONMED's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We should also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like CONMED commonly do use debt without problems. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that CONMED's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for CONMED you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CNMD
CONMED
A medical technology company, develops, manufactures, and sells surgical devices and related equipment for surgical procedures worldwide.
Undervalued with proven track record.