Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That TransMedics Group (NASDAQ:TMDX) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

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NasdaqGM:TMDX

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, TransMedics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMDX) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for TransMedics Group

What Is TransMedics Group's Net Debt?

As you can see below, TransMedics Group had US$508.5m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$330.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$178.4m.

NasdaqGM:TMDX Debt to Equity History November 20th 2024

A Look At TransMedics Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that TransMedics Group had liabilities of US$60.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$515.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$330.1m and US$90.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$155.4m.

Of course, TransMedics Group has a market capitalization of US$2.78b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

TransMedics Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. We also note that TransMedics Group improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive US$33m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if TransMedics Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, TransMedics Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

TransMedics Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. It's also worth noting that TransMedics Group is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about TransMedics Group's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for TransMedics Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.