TransMedics Group, Inc.

NasdaqGM:TMDX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

TransMedics Group Valuation

Is TMDX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TMDX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TMDX ($62.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($452.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TMDX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TMDX?

Key metric: As TMDX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TMDX. This is calculated by dividing TMDX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TMDX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio64.4x
EarningsUS$32.64m
Market CapUS$2.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TMDX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TMDX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average78.2x
LMAT LeMaitre Vascular
51.2x12.2%US$2.1b
CNMD CONMED
16.7x13.8%US$2.2b
NUVA NuVasive
73.3x46.2%US$2.1b
INSP Inspire Medical Systems
171.5x34.0%US$5.6b
TMDX TransMedics Group
64.4x31.7%US$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TMDX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.4x) compared to the peer average (79.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TMDX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Medical Equipment Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MHUA Meihua International Medical Technologies
1xn/aUS$9.08m
PAVM PAVmed
0.5x-90.0%US$7.21m
RTSL Rapid Therapeutic Science Laboratories
0.5xn/aUS$30.38k
UTRS Minerva Surgical
n/an/aUS$8.00
No more companies available in this PE range
TMDX 64.4xIndustry Avg. 35.6xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TMDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.4x) compared to the US Medical Equipment industry average (35.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TMDX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TMDX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio64.4x
Fair PE Ratio46.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TMDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TMDX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$62.60
US$102.00
+62.9%
18.7%US$125.00US$75.00n/a7
Dec ’25US$86.71
US$123.88
+42.9%
21.6%US$179.00US$87.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$82.40
US$136.67
+65.9%
24.2%US$180.00US$87.00n/a9
Oct ’25US$144.82
US$181.89
+25.6%
9.1%US$208.00US$153.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$168.06
US$179.44
+6.8%
8.5%US$208.00US$153.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$151.51
US$175.88
+16.1%
6.9%US$200.00US$153.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$150.19
US$135.00
-10.1%
17.0%US$175.00US$104.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$136.40
US$120.50
-11.7%
7.1%US$130.00US$104.00n/a6
May ’25US$117.60
US$120.50
+2.5%
7.1%US$130.00US$104.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$73.43
US$100.33
+36.6%
4.1%US$105.00US$95.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$82.72
US$101.40
+22.6%
3.7%US$105.00US$95.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$88.54
US$90.00
+1.6%
9.6%US$100.00US$75.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$78.93
US$90.00
+14.0%
9.6%US$100.00US$75.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$74.66
US$79.20
+6.1%
20.5%US$100.00US$54.00US$86.715
Nov ’24US$38.05
US$90.00
+136.5%
23.1%US$110.00US$50.00US$82.405
Oct ’24US$54.75
US$96.20
+75.7%
9.9%US$110.00US$81.00US$144.825
Sep ’24US$69.12
US$96.20
+39.2%
9.9%US$110.00US$81.00US$168.065
Aug ’24US$93.88
US$92.80
-1.2%
7.3%US$99.00US$81.00US$151.515
Jul ’24US$83.98
US$90.20
+7.4%
7.1%US$99.00US$81.00US$150.195
Jun ’24US$72.23
US$90.20
+24.9%
7.1%US$99.00US$81.00US$136.405
May ’24US$77.85
US$88.80
+14.1%
9.8%US$99.00US$74.00US$117.605
Apr ’24US$75.73
US$78.60
+3.8%
5.1%US$85.00US$74.00US$73.435
Mar ’24US$81.34
US$78.60
-3.4%
5.1%US$85.00US$74.00US$82.725
Feb ’24US$65.34
US$64.60
-1.1%
8.2%US$70.00US$55.00US$88.545
Jan ’24US$61.72
US$62.80
+1.7%
10.9%US$70.00US$54.00US$78.935
Dec ’23US$61.76
US$58.80
-4.8%
6.4%US$64.00US$54.00US$74.665

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 06:51
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

TransMedics Group, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David RescottBaird
William PlovanicCanaccord Genuity
Kristen StewartCL King & Associates, Inc.