Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Fulgent Genetics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FLGT) Price

NasdaqGM:FLGT
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When close to half the companies in the Healthcare industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider Fulgent Genetics, Inc. (NASDAQ:FLGT) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Fulgent Genetics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:FLGT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 17th 2024

How Fulgent Genetics Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Fulgent Genetics' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Fulgent Genetics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Fulgent Genetics' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 64%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 112% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 1.9% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 7.1% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's alarming that Fulgent Genetics' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Fulgent Genetics' P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Fulgent Genetics, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Fulgent Genetics.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Fulgent Genetics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.