Stock Analysis

New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For RPC, Inc. (NYSE:RES)

NYSE:RES
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RPC, Inc. (NYSE:RES) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals. The market may be pricing in some blue sky too, with the share price gaining 27% to US$7.99 in the last 7 days. We'll be curious to see if these new estimates convince the market to lift the stock price higher still.

Following the upgrade, the current consensus from RPC's six analysts is for revenues of US$1.5b in 2022 which - if met - would reflect a major 31% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 55% to US$0.58. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.45 in 2022. So we can see there's been a pretty clear increase in analyst sentiment in recent times, with both revenues and earnings per share receiving a decent lift in the latest estimates.

See our latest analysis for RPC

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:RES Earnings and Revenue Growth July 29th 2022

Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of US$9.50, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on RPC, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$13.00 and the most bearish at US$7.25 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that the analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the RPC's past performance and to peers in the same industry. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that RPC is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 71% annualised growth until the end of 2022. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 17% annual decline over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 11% annually. So it looks like RPC is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling, but with a serious upgrade to this year's earnings expectations, it might be time to take another look at RPC.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for RPC going out to 2023, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.