Helmerich & Payne, Inc.'s (NYSE:HP) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.25 per share on 2nd of December. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 4.2%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Helmerich & Payne's stock price has increased by 37% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
Helmerich & Payne's Long-term Dividend Outlook appears Promising
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Helmerich & Payne is unprofitable despite paying a dividend, and it is paying out 272% of its free cash flow. This is quite a strong warning sign that the dividend may not be sustainable.
According to analysts, EPS should be several times higher next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 39%, so there isn't too much pressure on the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Helmerich & Payne
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $2.75 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of $1.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 9.6% per year over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
The Company Could Face Some Challenges Growing The Dividend
Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. It's encouraging to see that Helmerich & Payne has been growing its earnings per share at 60% a year over the past five years. Even though the company is not profitable, it is growing at a solid clip. If the company can turn a profit relatively soon, we can see this becoming a reliable income stock.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Helmerich & Payne has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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