Stock Analysis

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Looks Interesting, And It's About To Pay A Dividend

NYSE:COP
Source: Shutterstock

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) is about to go ex-dividend in just four days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Therefore, if you purchase ConocoPhillips' shares on or after the 14th of February, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 3rd of March.

The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.78 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of US$3.72 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that ConocoPhillips has a trailing yield of 3.8% on the current share price of US$98.36. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether ConocoPhillips's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

Check out our latest analysis for ConocoPhillips

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. ConocoPhillips paid out a comfortable 40% of its profit last year. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Fortunately, it paid out only 46% of its free cash flow in the past year.

It's positive to see that ConocoPhillips's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
NYSE:COP Historic Dividend February 9th 2025

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're encouraged by the steady growth at ConocoPhillips, with earnings per share up 2.4% on average over the last five years. Recent growth has not been impressive. Yet there are several ways to grow the dividend, and one of them is simply that the company may choose to pay out more of its earnings as dividends.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, ConocoPhillips has lifted its dividend by approximately 3.0% a year on average. It's encouraging to see the company lifting dividends while earnings are growing, suggesting at least some corporate interest in rewarding shareholders.

Final Takeaway

Is ConocoPhillips worth buying for its dividend? Earnings per share growth has been growing somewhat, and ConocoPhillips is paying out less than half its earnings and cash flow as dividends. This is interesting for a few reasons, as it suggests management may be reinvesting heavily in the business, but it also provides room to increase the dividend in time. It might be nice to see earnings growing faster, but ConocoPhillips is being conservative with its dividend payouts and could still perform reasonably over the long run. ConocoPhillips looks solid on this analysis overall, and we'd definitely consider investigating it more closely.

In light of that, while ConocoPhillips has an appealing dividend, it's worth knowing the risks involved with this stock. Our analysis shows 1 warning sign for ConocoPhillips and you should be aware of it before buying any shares.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:COP

ConocoPhillips

Explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids in the United States, Canada, China, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

Community Narratives

Priced for AI perfection - cracks are emerging
Fair Value US$90.15|44.027% overvalued
ChadWisperer
ChadWisperer
Community Contributor
NVDA Market Outlook
Fair Value US$341.12|61.937% undervalued
NateF
NateF
Community Contributor
Karoon Energy (ASX:KAR) - Buy Baby Buy 🚀
Fair Value AU$5.10|70.294% undervalued
StockMan
StockMan
Community Contributor