Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving ENGlobal Corporation's (NASDAQ:ENG) 25% Price Drop

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the ENGlobal Corporation (NASDAQ:ENG) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 73% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Energy Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.9x, you may consider ENGlobal as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for ENGlobal

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:ENG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

How Has ENGlobal Performed Recently?

The recent revenue growth at ENGlobal would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this good revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for ENGlobal, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like ENGlobal's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.1% gain to the company's revenues. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 41% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that ENGlobal's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

The southerly movements of ENGlobal's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of ENGlobal revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for ENGlobal (of which 3 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OTCPK:ENGC.Q

ENGlobal

Provides engineering and professional project execution services primarily to the energy sector in the United States and internationally.

Medium-low and slightly overvalued.

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