Toast (TOST) Stock Overview
Operates a cloud-based digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States, Ireland, India, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 6/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
TOST Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 142 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Toast, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$23.04 |
| 52 Week High | US$49.66 |
| 52 Week Low | US$22.26 |
| Beta | 1.82 |
| 1 Month Change | -19.64% |
| 3 Month Change | -14.89% |
| 1 Year Change | -46.02% |
| 3 Year Change | 8.07% |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | -63.14% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 09
TOST: Software Moat And AI Adoption Will Support Re-Rating Despite Cuts
Analysts have trimmed their average Toast price target by several dollars to around $36, reflecting a series of target cuts across firms that updated models after recent Q4 results and sector wide multiple compression, even as some still point to solid execution and differentiated software in restaurant payments. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toast over the recent period combines a clear reset in price targets with generally constructive views on execution and the underlying software and payments platform.Narrative Update • Apr 23
TOST: Software Moat And AI Adoption Will Support Future Repricing
The analyst price target for Toast edges down from $36.75 to $36.36 as analysts update their models to reflect revised sector multiples and mixed, but generally solid, recent research views on the company. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toast shows a mix of optimism around execution and competitive positioning, alongside a reset in expectations that has pulled price targets lower across much of the coverage universe.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
Toast: More Than Just A POS
Summary Toast is evolving into a combined POS, fintech, and hardware platform, delivering robust growth across revenue, GPV, and ARR. TOST posted 24% annual revenue growth, $608M in free cash flow, and added a record 30,000 net new locations, including international expansion. Vertical integration across POS, payments, inventory, and payroll increases cross-sell potential and customer stickiness, supported by new partnerships and AI initiatives. With $2B in cash, reasonable valuation versus peers, and strong growth momentum, I rate TOST a Buy for its mix of scale, quality, and balance sheet strength. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 08
TOST: Software Moat And AI Tools Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have trimmed the Toast fair value estimate slightly to $36.75 from $37.70 as a series of reduced price targets, mostly tied to lower sector multiples and modest model tweaks after Q4 results, offset more supportive views on the company’s software moat and quality within payments. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Toast presents a mixed picture, with price targets generally adjusted lower while views on the company’s execution, software moat and role within payments remain constructive in many cases.Narrative Update • Mar 24
TOST: Restaurant Execution And AI Tools Will Support Future Repricing
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Toast edges up to about $38 from roughly $37, reflecting models that assume steady growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple, even as several firms trim their individual targets after Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toast clusters around two themes, with many firms trimming price targets after Q4 while still highlighting solid execution and quality, and a smaller group flagging valuation and competitive risks as reasons for caution.Narrative Update • Mar 10
TOST: Restaurant Execution And AI Tools Will Support Future Margin Expansion
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Toast slightly lower, from $37.58 to $37.22. A wave of reduced but still supportive Street price targets reflects updated models after Q4 results, modestly lower sector multiples, and some caution around early year weather impacts on near term revenue.Narrative Update • Feb 23
TOST: Restaurant Execution And AI Adoption Will Support Future Margin Expansion
Our updated fair value estimate for Toast has moved lower to $37.58 from $46.38, reflecting a broad wave of reduced Street price targets as analysts factor in slightly softer long term revenue growth assumptions, improved margin expectations, and lower sector P/E multiples, while still generally viewing recent Q4 performance as solid. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toast has become more mixed, with most firms trimming price targets while still generally acknowledging solid Q4 execution.Narrative Update • Feb 07
TOST: Restaurant Execution And New Installations Will Support Future Margin Expansion
Narrative Update on Toast The analyst price target for Toast has been trimmed slightly, based on research that balances expectations for solid near term results with concerns related to competition, valuation, and the expansion of the total addressable market. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toast reflects a mixed setup, with some analysts highlighting execution strengths and others focusing on valuation and competitive pressures.Analysis Article • Feb 06
Investors Give Toast, Inc. (NYSE:TOST) Shares A 25% Hiding
Toast, Inc. ( NYSE:TOST ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...Narrative Update • Jan 24
TOST: U S Restaurant Share Gains Will Support Future Margin Expansion
The analyst price target for Toast has been trimmed by about $1 to $46.63, as analysts weigh slightly softer modeled revenue growth and a lower future P/E against improved profit margin expectations and ongoing mixed signals from recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toast shows a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside caution on valuation, competition, and longer term growth assumptions.Narrative Update • Jan 09
TOST: U S Restaurant Share Gains Will Support Future Fintech Pricing Power
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Toast slightly higher to about US$47.75. This reflects updated views on growth, profitability and P/E assumptions after a mix of new initiations with Buy ratings and lower price targets that factor in competition, valuation and macro uncertainty.Narrative Update • Dec 15
TOST: U S Restaurant Share Gains Will Drive Future Fintech Pricing Power
Analysts nudged their average price target on Toast slightly higher to the mid $40s, citing resilient recurring revenue growth, improving profitability, and conservative longer term guidance as supportive of modest upside despite a series of modest target cuts and ongoing macro uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Street research paints a nuanced picture for Toast, with most firms trimming price targets while still acknowledging strong execution and an attractive long term growth runway.Narrative Update • Dec 01
TOST: U S Restaurant Market Share Gains Will Drive Sustained Upside Momentum
Analysts have revised their average price target for Toast downward by several dollars. The new expectations are now in the mid-$40s range, with analysts citing strong recent performance as well as increased caution over macro uncertainty and future earnings outlooks.Narrative Update • Nov 16
TOST: Expansion Into New Restaurant Markets Will Drive Continued Momentum
Analysts have revised Toast's fair value estimate downward by approximately $1 to $47.35 per share. They cited strong recent results but also expressed caution regarding macroeconomic uncertainty and a more conservative long-term outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 01
TOST: Expanded Restaurant Platform Reach Will Drive Long-Term Market Leadership
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value price target for Toast to approximately $48.38, a modest decrease of $0.53. This adjustment reflects sustained market growth expectations, though recent caution around profit margins and sector-wide guidance concerns has also contributed to the change.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Integrated Digital Payments And Automation Will Unlock Future Opportunities
The average analyst price target for Toast has been revised slightly lower, decreasing by $0.79 to $48.92. Analysts are factoring in moderated profit margin expectations along with ongoing growth opportunities highlighted in recent research.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Integrated Digital Payments And Automation Will Unlock Future Opportunities
Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value price target for Toast to $49.71 from $50.54. They cite recent shifts in starter kit software pricing and ongoing competitive dynamics in the restaurant technology sector as reasons for the change.Narrative Update • Aug 07
Integrated Digital Payments And Automation Will Unlock Future Opportunities
The Analyst Price Target for Toast rose notably from $44.64 to $49.38, primarily reflecting improved net profit margin, despite a slight deceleration in revenue growth forecasts. What's in the News American Express and Toast formed a multi-year strategic partnership to integrate their technologies, aiming to enhance personalized hospitality and guest experiences across their restaurant networks, including Resy, Tock, and Toast locations.
New Narrative • Apr 23
Investing In R&D And AI Will Open New Markets
Expanding into new segments and geographies is set to drive location growth and revenue expansion.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Toast: Strong Foundations For Future Growth
Summary Toast enjoys strong moats, including switching costs and network effects. The company is expanding internationally, launching new products, and targeting new verticals, driving future growth. Toast's strategic focus on SMBs and payment processing revenue streams has built a strong competitive advantage and customer loyalty. Despite economic concerns, Toast's high ROIC relative to WACC indicates it is creating value, making it a long-term investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 10
Toast: Low Market Sentiment And Recession Are Only An Opportunity
Summary Toast's stock has dropped 30% since November 2024, presenting a buying opportunity despite recession fears. The company has improved significantly its margins over the years and is now both FCF and GAAP net profitable. Thanks to their fortress balance sheet, even a recession, while painful, will not be an existential threat, and they might come out of it strong. When the market goes into sell-off mode is exactly the time to take advantage of cheaper prices for good companies. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
Toast Has Fallen Far Enough, It's Time To Buy Back In (Upgrade)
Summary Toast's stock has dropped ~20% from recent peaks in the mid-$40s, creating an opportune re-entry point. I'm upgrading the stock back to a buy rating. Though still not a cheap stock, Toast is now trading at a ~37x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple for ~40% expected EBITDA growth in FY25. Toast's Q4 revenue and ARR saw acceleration to a ~30% clip, despite a tough macro environment for restaurants. The company's expansion to hotels and retail is another reason to buy Toast while it's still in the early stages of capturing more of its $110 billion global market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 13
Toast: High Performing, But I Fear It's Overvalued
Summary Toast has shown impressive revenue growth and deep market penetration in recent years, but I feel the valuation is a concern. While the company benefits from strong industry tailwinds and a robust SaaS model, competition from other firms presents a major challenge. Given these factors, I recommend a hold rating on the company, while waiting for answers on the uncertainty in the sector and beyond. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 03
Toast Is More Than Just A Point-Of-Sale Company -- That's Why It's A Buy
Summary Toast is growing fast, with revenue up 26% year-over-year and more restaurants using its platform. Toast, Inc. posted its first positive operating income but is not yet consistently GAAP profitable. Payments and software subscriptions drive recurring revenue, making Toast's business model more predictable. Free cash flow is improving, meaning Toast no longer needs to raise money to fund growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 17
Toast: Strong Cash Position, Weak Near-Term Confidence
Summary I’m concerned about Toast’s ability to differentiate itself in a crowded market with competitors like Square and Clover. The risks associated with international expansion and its long payback period make me hesitant. While new products like branded apps and SMS marketing show promise, it’s unclear how much they’ll drive profitability. The restaurant industry’s economic challenges could dampen Toast’s growth, especially among smaller businesses. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 27
Toast: Hold Your Nose And Buy This Leader
Summary Toast, Inc.'s recent pullback is seen as a temporary pause, with technical indicators favoring a bullish outlook, making it a Buy. The company's strong revenue and EPS growth, driven by operating leverage and customer expansion, support its growth phase. Risks include potential revenue growth disappointments, macroeconomic factors affecting restaurant spending, and stock dilution impacting EPS. Despite a high forward P/E of 49X, TOST stock's valuation is justified by its robust growth outlook, making it a Buy rather than a Strong Buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 15
Toast: Profitability Doesn't Justify The Multiple (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Toast's stock was initially rated a "strong buy" due to rapid revenue growth, improved gross margins, and favorable valuation metrics. Despite achieving GAAP profitability and significant growth in key performance indicators, the stock's valuation has become unattractive. Given the elevated valuation, I am updating my rating from a "strong buy" to a "hold" despite the company's continued innovation and growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 24
Toast: Fantastic Performance, Terrible Price (Rating Downgrade)
Summary With the S&P 500 near all-time highs, it's crucial to review portfolios and consider trimming overvalued stocks like Toast to protect YTD gains. Toast has surged 130%+ this year, but its sharp rise may already reflect its strengths, prompting a downgrade to neutral despite strong Q3 results that featured no growth deceleration. Despite Toast's $110 billion TAM and international growth potential, risks like low gross margins and competition from Square and Clover persist. The stock is richly valued at ~38x forward adjusted EBITDA and ~48x forward P/E. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 08
Toast Q3 Review: I'm Booking Profits After The 100%+ YTD Returns
Summary After five consecutive “buy” ratings, I believe the magnitude of the upside has finally shrunk, leading me to rate Toast a “hold” with a price target of $43, as I book profits on my position. The underlying fundamentals of TOST continue to be strong, with Q3 FY24 earnings showing strong revenue growth of 26% YoY and adjusted EBITDA growth of 222% YoY, beating estimates. Some of the key growth drivers include expanding restaurant locations, targeted product innovation, unlocking TAM in new verticals, and operational excellence. However, declining GPV and uncertain macroeconomic conditions warrant caution. Plus, given the run-up in the stock price, I believe much of its future growth prospects are now priced in. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 24
Toast: Shaping Up Into A Real Winner
Summary Toast is a speculative stock bridging cloud software and fintech payment solutions, carving out a niche in the restaurant industry. The company maintains low attrition rates, showcasing product stickiness and upsell opportunities, with success stories from customers improving operations. Although difficult to value, the market opportunity is immense and Toast continues to execute. It's a buy for me today. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 04
Toast: Excellent Execution Amid Potential Slowdown
Summary Shares of Toast have rallied after posting strong Q2 results, bringing YTD gains above 30%. The company has raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA expectations for FY24, highlighting the efficiencies gained from its restructuring as well as strong new location expansion. At a >40x adjusted EBITDA multiple amid a potential macro downturn, especially for restaurants, Toast bears some added risk. I'm retaining my buy call on TOST and recommend riding the stock upward to the high $20s before considering an exit. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 01
Toast: Widening Competitive Moat And Significant Growth Runway
Summary Toast has grown from a payments solution to a comprehensive platform offering team management, payroll, online ordering, and more, increasing its value and switching costs for customers. With multiple growth vectors, including adding new customers, expanding product offerings, and entering new markets, the Company continues to see strong revenue growth and opportunities for international expansion. TOST has shown improvements in gross profit and operating margins, moving towards GAAP profitability. Despite risks like potential recession impacts, the company's current valuation suggests a potentially promising investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| TOST | US Diversified Financial | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -0.1% | 1.0% | -0.3% |
| 1Y | -46.0% | -9.6% | 26.7% |
Return vs Industry: TOST underperformed the US Diversified Financial industry which returned -9.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TOST underperformed the US Market which returned 26.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TOST volatility | |
|---|---|
| TOST Average Weekly Movement | 7.4% |
| Diversified Financial Industry Average Movement | 6.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: TOST has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: TOST's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 6,500 | Aman Narang | www.pos.toasttab.com |
Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States, Ireland, India, and internationally. It offers a platform of software-as-a-service for restaurant operations and point of sale, such as Toast POS; Toast IQ, a conversational artificial intelligence; vendor management; multi-location management; kitchen display system; online ordering and delivery. It offers payroll and team management; inventory and supply chain tools; xtraCHEF by toast, a set of back-office tools for restaurants, including accounts payable automation, inventory management, ingredient price tracking, and recipe costing; financial technology solutions, including integrated payment processing, and restaurant-grade hardware.
Toast, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| TOST fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$13.52b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$412.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$6.45b |
32.4x
P/E Ratio2.1x
P/S RatioIs TOST overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TOST income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$6.45b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$4.75b |
| Gross Profit | US$1.70b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.29b |
| Earnings | US$412.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.71 |
| Gross Margin | 26.36% |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.39% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did TOST perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/21 21:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Toast, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Koning | Baird |
| Harshita Rawat | Bernstein |
| Andrew Bauch | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |