PRA Group Valuation

Is PRAA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRAA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PRAA ($22.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($7.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRAA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRAA?

Key metric: As PRAA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PRAA. This is calculated by dividing PRAA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PRAA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.3x
EarningsUS$43.36m
Market CapUS$894.99m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PRAA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PRAA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
ATLC Atlanticus Holdings
9.2x28.9%US$730.9m
WRLD World Acceptance
7.5x-1.6%US$624.8m
OPFI OppFi
20.7x66.9%US$595.7m
PRG PROG Holdings
12.3x-0.2%US$2.0b
PRAA PRA Group
20.3x42.0%US$895.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PRAA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PRAA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YRD Yiren Digital
1.8xn/aUS$505.96m
XYF X Financial
1.7xn/aUS$307.51m
No more companies available in this PE range
PRAA 20.3xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies5PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PRAA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRAA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRAA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.3x
Fair PE Ratio23x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PRAA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PRAA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$22.32
US$29.33
+31.4%
13.2%US$33.00US$24.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$20.84
US$28.33
+36.0%
13.0%US$33.00US$24.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$21.81
US$28.33
+29.9%
13.0%US$33.00US$24.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$23.32
US$33.00
+41.5%
22.3%US$42.00US$24.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$23.73
US$32.33
+36.3%
25.3%US$42.00US$22.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$19.42
US$32.33
+66.5%
25.3%US$42.00US$22.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$21.58
US$32.33
+49.8%
25.3%US$42.00US$22.00n/a3
May ’25US$24.28
US$31.00
+27.7%
31.9%US$42.00US$18.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$25.80
US$31.00
+20.2%
31.9%US$42.00US$18.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$25.93
US$31.00
+19.6%
31.9%US$42.00US$18.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$23.38
US$28.67
+22.6%
34.8%US$42.00US$18.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$26.20
US$28.67
+9.4%
34.8%US$42.00US$18.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$19.67
US$27.00
+37.3%
39.5%US$42.00US$18.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$12.43
US$31.00
+149.4%
31.9%US$42.00US$18.00US$20.843
Oct ’24US$19.21
US$31.00
+61.4%
31.9%US$42.00US$18.00US$21.813
Sep ’24US$19.71
US$31.00
+57.3%
31.9%US$42.00US$18.00US$23.323
Aug ’24US$23.48
US$31.33
+33.4%
30.2%US$42.00US$19.00US$23.733
Jul ’24US$22.85
US$31.33
+37.1%
30.2%US$42.00US$19.00US$19.423
Jun ’24US$19.15
US$34.33
+79.3%
31.6%US$42.00US$19.00US$21.583
May ’24US$35.72
US$46.67
+30.6%
10.1%US$50.00US$40.00US$24.283
Apr ’24US$38.96
US$46.67
+19.8%
10.1%US$50.00US$40.00US$25.803
Mar ’24US$42.47
US$46.67
+9.9%
10.1%US$50.00US$40.00US$25.933
Feb ’24US$40.37
US$40.33
-0.09%
17.5%US$48.00US$31.00US$23.383
Jan ’24US$33.78
US$42.00
+24.3%
18.5%US$48.00US$31.00US$26.203
Dec ’23US$34.37
US$42.00
+22.2%
18.5%US$48.00US$31.00US$19.673
Nov ’23US$32.86
US$47.00
+43.0%
17.4%US$57.00US$37.00US$12.433

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies