Green Dot Valuation

Is GDOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GDOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GDOT ($10.65) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($10.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GDOT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GDOT?

Key metric: As GDOT is an unprofitable bank we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for GDOT. This is calculated by dividing GDOT's market cap by their current book value.
What is GDOT's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.6x
BookUS$932.25m
Market CapUS$572.83m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does GDOT's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for GDOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
OPFI OppFi
4.4x80.6%US$623.3m
WRLD World Acceptance
1.4x-1.6%US$581.5m
EZPW EZCORP
0.8x10.3%US$641.6m
YRD Yiren Digital
0.3xn/aUS$409.5m
GDOT Green Dot
0.6x121.8%US$572.8m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: GDOT is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does GDOT's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LU Lufax Holding
0.2x74.2%US$2.13b
AIJT.Y Jianpu Technology
0.1xn/aUS$7.92m
QCCO QC Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$6.09m
SUNL.Q Sunlight Financial Holdings
0.0003xn/aUS$74.69k
No more companies available in this PB range
GDOT 0.6xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies7PB012345+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: GDOT is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (1.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GDOT's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GDOT PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GDOT's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GDOT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.65
US$12.33
+15.8%
16.7%US$15.00US$10.00n/a3
Dec ’25US$10.27
US$12.33
+20.1%
16.7%US$15.00US$10.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$11.27
US$12.00
+6.5%
15.6%US$15.00US$10.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$11.02
US$11.75
+6.6%
17.4%US$15.00US$10.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$11.17
US$10.75
-3.8%
26.6%US$15.00US$7.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$9.37
US$10.75
+14.7%
26.6%US$15.00US$7.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$9.35
US$10.75
+15.0%
26.6%US$15.00US$7.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$9.91
US$10.75
+8.5%
26.6%US$15.00US$7.00n/a4
May ’25US$9.09
US$10.75
+18.3%
26.6%US$15.00US$7.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$9.11
US$10.60
+16.4%
26.9%US$15.00US$7.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$8.04
US$10.67
+32.7%
24.5%US$15.00US$7.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$9.04
US$12.50
+38.3%
28.8%US$18.00US$7.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$9.90
US$13.17
+33.0%
28.9%US$18.00US$7.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$8.54
US$13.33
+56.1%
26.6%US$18.00US$8.00US$10.276
Nov ’24US$11.21
US$18.17
+62.1%
20.5%US$25.00US$13.00US$11.276
Oct ’24US$13.93
US$21.33
+53.1%
13.7%US$25.00US$16.00US$11.026
Sep ’24US$15.08
US$21.83
+44.8%
9.7%US$25.00US$19.00US$11.176
Aug ’24US$19.79
US$21.83
+10.3%
9.7%US$25.00US$19.00US$9.376
Jul ’24US$18.74
US$21.00
+12.1%
11.0%US$25.00US$18.00US$9.356
Jun ’24US$18.07
US$20.50
+13.4%
13.4%US$25.00US$17.00US$9.916
May ’24US$16.98
US$20.43
+20.3%
12.5%US$25.00US$17.00US$9.097
Apr ’24US$17.18
US$20.43
+18.9%
12.5%US$25.00US$17.00US$9.117
Mar ’24US$19.01
US$20.43
+7.5%
12.5%US$25.00US$17.00US$8.047
Feb ’24US$18.62
US$22.71
+22.0%
18.2%US$30.00US$17.00US$9.047
Jan ’24US$15.82
US$23.25
+47.0%
13.4%US$30.00US$20.00US$9.908
Dec ’23US$20.29
US$23.75
+17.1%
14.4%US$30.00US$20.00US$8.548

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 13:47
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Green Dot Corporation is covered by 37 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ramsey El-AssalBarclays
Lance JessurunBTIG
Joseph VafiCanaccord Genuity