Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Nicholas Financial's (NASDAQ:NICK) Shares Five Years Ago You Would Be Down 21%

NasdaqGS:OMCC
Source: Shutterstock

Nicholas Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:NICK) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 15% in the last quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 21%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

Check out our latest analysis for Nicholas Financial

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Nicholas Financial became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

It could be that the revenue decline of 11% per year is viewed as evidence that Nicholas Financial is shrinking. This has probably encouraged some shareholders to sell down the stock.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:NICK Earnings and Revenue Growth January 11th 2021

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on Nicholas Financial's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

Nicholas Financial shareholders gained a total return of 1.6% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 4% per year, over five years. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Nicholas Financial (2 are concerning) that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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