Stock Analysis

U.S. Global Investors (NASDAQ:GROW) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.0075

NasdaqCM:GROW
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The board of U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (NASDAQ:GROW) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.0075 per share on the 31st of March. The dividend yield will be 3.7% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for U.S. Global Investors

U.S. Global Investors' Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before this announcement, U.S. Global Investors was paying out 244% of what it was earning, and not generating any free cash flows either. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 19.8% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 317%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
NasdaqCM:GROW Historic Dividend February 26th 2025

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from $0.06 total annually to $0.09. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.1% a year over that time. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. U.S. Global Investors' earnings per share has shrunk at 20% a year over the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.

U.S. Global Investors' Dividend Doesn't Look Great

In summary, while it is good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we think that at current levels the payment isn't particularly sustainable. The company isn't making enough to be paying as much as it is, and the other factors don't look particularly promising either. Overall, the dividend is not reliable enough to make this a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, U.S. Global Investors has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.