Does Credit Acceptance's (CACC) New Buyback Reveal Deeper Management Conviction or Limited Growth Options?

Simply Wall St
  • Credit Acceptance Corporation announced in late September 2025 that its Board of Directors has authorized a new share repurchase program, enabling the company to buy back up to 2,000,000 shares with no expiration date specified.
  • This move may be interpreted as management’s confidence in the company’s long-term prospects and its commitment to returning value to shareholders.
  • With the board’s latest share repurchase authorization, we’ll explore how this could impact Credit Acceptance’s investment narrative and future outlook.

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Credit Acceptance Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Credit Acceptance Corporation, you generally need conviction in the profitability and resilience of the U.S. subprime auto lending market, especially as revenue and earnings have recovered in the most recent quarters. The recent share repurchase program signals management’s confidence but does not materially shift the most pressing near-term catalysts or risks, such as further loan performance deterioration or market share losses amid ongoing competition.

The most relevant recent announcement is July’s completion of repurchasing over 1.6 million shares, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns. While this supports potential per-share earnings growth, it does not directly address credit risk in vintages from recent years, a key factor underpinning both the share price and broader investment outlook. Contrast this focus on buybacks with persistent concerns around loan performance from 2022–2024, which investors should not overlook, especially if...

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Credit Acceptance's narrative projects $4.5 billion revenue and $504.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 56.2% yearly revenue growth and a $79.6 million earnings increase from $424.4 million today.

Uncover how Credit Acceptance's forecasts yield a $467.50 fair value, a 5% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

CACC Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Fair value estimates for Credit Acceptance from three Simply Wall St Community members range widely from US$289.58 to US$469.67 per share. In light of these differing views, ongoing credit risks tied to recent loan vintages remain a crucial factor you should be aware of as they could shape future profitability and confidence in share repurchases.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Credit Acceptance - why the stock might be worth 41% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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