Credit Acceptance Corporation

NasdaqGS:CACC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.4b

Credit Acceptance Valuation

Is CACC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CACC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CACC ($445.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($455.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CACC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CACC?

Key metric: As CACC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CACC. This is calculated by dividing CACC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CACC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.5x
EarningsUS$189.60m
Market CapUS$5.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CACC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CACC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
SLM SLM
7.9x-1.1%US$5.2b
OMF OneMain Holdings
12x31.2%US$6.6b
NNI Nelnet
33.9xn/aUS$4.0b
QFIN Qifu Technology
7.5x10.2%US$4.8b
CACC Credit Acceptance
28.5x50.0%US$5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CACC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CACC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YRD Yiren Digital
1.8xn/aUS$507.70m
XYF X Financial
1.7xn/aUS$302.56m
No more companies available in this PE range
CACC 28.5xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies4PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CACC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (12.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CACC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CACC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.5x
Fair PE Ratio29.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CACC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CACC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$445.96
US$426.50
-4.4%
12.3%US$500.00US$374.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$417.33
US$418.00
+0.2%
13.9%US$500.00US$374.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$438.50
US$449.67
+2.5%
9.1%US$500.00US$400.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$466.53
US$463.00
-0.8%
12.5%US$540.00US$400.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$489.29
US$463.00
-5.4%
12.5%US$540.00US$400.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$517.22
US$476.33
-7.9%
9.5%US$540.00US$440.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$490.83
US$469.67
-4.3%
10.9%US$540.00US$420.00n/a3
May ’25US$492.58
US$484.67
-1.6%
8.2%US$540.00US$449.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$544.54
US$482.67
-11.4%
8.7%US$540.00US$440.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$552.00
US$482.67
-12.6%
8.7%US$540.00US$440.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$581.39
US$499.50
-14.1%
9.3%US$550.00US$440.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$532.73
US$405.00
-24.0%
7.3%US$440.00US$360.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$473.90
US$405.00
-14.5%
7.3%US$440.00US$360.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$415.42
US$393.40
-5.3%
8.9%US$440.00US$347.00US$417.335
Oct ’24US$460.12
US$445.50
-3.2%
13.2%US$517.00US$355.00US$438.504
Sep ’24US$498.65
US$445.50
-10.7%
13.2%US$517.00US$355.00US$466.534
Aug ’24US$553.10
US$432.50
-21.8%
9.0%US$463.00US$367.00US$489.294
Jul ’24US$507.93
US$432.50
-14.9%
9.0%US$463.00US$367.00US$517.224
Jun ’24US$449.24
US$422.00
-6.1%
9.6%US$463.00US$367.00US$490.835
May ’24US$498.73
US$426.40
-14.5%
7.5%US$470.00US$380.00US$492.585
Apr ’24US$436.04
US$426.40
-2.2%
7.5%US$470.00US$380.00US$544.545
Mar ’24US$444.24
US$426.40
-4.0%
7.5%US$470.00US$380.00US$552.005
Feb ’24US$526.08
US$426.40
-18.9%
7.5%US$470.00US$380.00US$581.395
Jan ’24US$474.40
US$435.60
-8.2%
12.6%US$532.00US$364.00US$532.735
Dec ’23US$474.43
US$435.60
-8.2%
12.6%US$532.00US$364.00US$473.905
Nov ’23US$471.84
US$485.60
+2.9%
11.2%US$572.00US$430.00US$415.425

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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