Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE:QSR) Is Unlikely

NYSE:QSR
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With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s (NYSE:QSR) P/E ratio of 17.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Restaurant Brands International certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Restaurant Brands International

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:QSR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 31st 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Restaurant Brands International's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Growth For Restaurant Brands International?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Restaurant Brands International would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 127% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 4.7% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Restaurant Brands International's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Restaurant Brands International's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Restaurant Brands International (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Restaurant Brands International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.