Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Brinker International, Inc.'s (NYSE:EAT) Share Price

NYSE:EAT
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Brinker International, Inc.'s (NYSE:EAT) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Brinker International has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Brinker International

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:EAT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Brinker International's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Brinker International's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Brinker International's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 88% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 529% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 10% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 13% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Brinker International is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Brinker International's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Brinker International maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Brinker International that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Brinker International. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Brinker International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.