Stock Analysis

Despegar.com, Corp. (NYSE:DESP) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

NYSE:DESP
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It's not a stretch to say that Despegar.com, Corp.'s (NYSE:DESP) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Despegar.com

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:DESP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2024

How Despegar.com Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Despegar.com has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Despegar.com's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Despegar.com's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Despegar.com's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 190% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Despegar.com is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Looking at Despegar.com's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Despegar.com with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Despegar.com is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.