Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying Papa John's International, Inc. (NASDAQ:PZZA) Now?

NasdaqGS:PZZA
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Papa John's International, Inc. (NASDAQ:PZZA), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Papa John's International’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the US Hospitality industry.

Is Papa John's International Still Cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 13.94% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Papa John's International today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $70.61, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Papa John's International’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Papa John's International generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:PZZA Earnings and Revenue Growth December 8th 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Papa John's International's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 76%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in PZZA’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PZZA, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Papa John's International has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.