Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Some Issues For El Pollo Loco Holdings (NASDAQ:LOCO) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

NasdaqGS:LOCO
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El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LOCO) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for El Pollo Loco Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:LOCO Earnings and Revenue History March 16th 2024

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

To properly understand El Pollo Loco Holdings' profit results, we need to consider the US$3.7m gain attributed to unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If El Pollo Loco Holdings doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On El Pollo Loco Holdings' Profit Performance

We'd posit that El Pollo Loco Holdings' statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Because of this, we think that it may be that El Pollo Loco Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 7.5% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for El Pollo Loco Holdings you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of El Pollo Loco Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether El Pollo Loco Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.