Stock Analysis

Inspired Entertainment (NASDAQ:INSE) pulls back 15% this week, but still delivers shareholders incredible 61% CAGR over 3 years

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NasdaqCM:INSE
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Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:INSE) shareholders have seen the share price descend 16% over the month. But that doesn't displace its brilliant performance over three years. Over that time, we've been excited to watch the share price climb an impressive 315%. So you might argue that the recent reduction in the share price is unremarkable in light of the longer term performance. The thing to consider is whether there is still too much elation around the company's prospects.

While the stock has fallen 15% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Inspired Entertainment

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Inspired Entertainment became profitable within the last three years. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqCM:INSE Earnings Per Share Growth March 15th 2023

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

A Different Perspective

While it's never nice to take a loss, Inspired Entertainment shareholders can take comfort that their trailing twelve month loss of 4.2% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 10%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 18% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Inspired Entertainment better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Inspired Entertainment .

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

What are the risks and opportunities for Inspired Entertainment?

Inspired Entertainment, Inc., a gaming technology company, engages in the supply of content, platform, and other products and services to regulated lottery, betting, and gaming operators worldwide.

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Rewards

  • Price-To-Earnings ratio (15x) is below the Hospitality industry average (19.2x)

  • Earnings are forecast to grow 19.62% per year

  • Became profitable this year

Risks

  • Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

  • Negative shareholders equity

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Inspired Entertainment

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