Genius Sports (GENI) Stock Overview
Provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 6/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for GENI from our risk checks.
GENI Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 36 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Genius Sports Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$5.93 |
| 52 Week High | US$13.73 |
| 52 Week Low | US$3.83 |
| Beta | 1.92 |
| 1 Month Change | 34.77% |
| 3 Month Change | 10.02% |
| 1 Year Change | -37.45% |
| 3 Year Change | 1.37% |
| 5 Year Change | -68.67% |
| Change since IPO | -40.70% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 05
GENI: Official Data Rights And AI Partnerships Will Support Future Prediction Markets
Analysts have trimmed the average price target for Genius Sports by about $1, reflecting updated views on fair value that incorporate higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, a lower assumed future P/E, and recent research that highlights both reduced targets at several firms and renewed support following the CFTC advisory on official sports data. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Genius Sports reflects a mix of optimism around new revenue opportunities and caution around valuation and execution risks, especially after a series of price target cuts alongside supportive commentary on official data rights and prediction markets.Narrative Update • Apr 23
GENI: Official Data Rights Will Drive Future Prediction Market And Advertising Demand
Genius Sports' updated analyst price target edges lower by about $0.50 to reflect slightly higher discount rates, a modestly reduced fair value estimate, and analyst views that softer profit margin assumptions offset relatively steady growth expectations and supportive data rights tailwinds highlighted in recent CFTC related research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Genius Sports clusters around two themes, lower price targets across much of the analyst coverage and growing interest in the company’s official data rights and prediction market exposure following the recent CFTC staff letter.Narrative Update • Apr 04
GENI: Official Data Rights Will Power Future NFL Prediction Market Advertising
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target on Genius Sports to about $11.65 from roughly $11.76, reflecting lower sector P/E multiples. At the same time, they point to improving profit margin assumptions and new data driven opportunities tied to prediction markets and media partnerships.Narrative Update • Mar 21
GENI: Official Data Rights And NFL Media Access Will Drive Future Advertising Upside
Analysts have trimmed the average price target for Genius Sports by several dollars to around the low teens in dollar terms, citing sector-wide multiple pressure. They are still highlighting official data rights, prediction market potential, and expected benefits from the Legend acquisition and advertising partnerships as key supports for the updated view.Narrative Update • Mar 06
GENI: NFL Media And Legend Synergies Will Support Future Advertising Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Genius Sports to about $11.76 per share from $13, citing sector wide multiple compression, updated revenue and profit assumptions, and ongoing questions around the Legend acquisition, even as they highlight potential media, advertising, and sports rights synergies. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a cluster of price target reductions on Genius Sports, but with a wide spread of views on how the story might play out.Narrative Update • Feb 19
GENI: NFL Media Relationships Will Support Future Advertising And Earnings Potential
The updated analyst price target for Genius Sports has shifted from about $15.58 to $13.00, as analysts factor in slightly lower expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a reduced future P/E multiple, while still highlighting ongoing opportunities in media and advertising tied to key sports relationships. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a clear split in how analysts view Genius Sports, with several firms trimming price targets while others highlight upside tied to media and advertising, especially around NFL data rights.Analysis Article • Feb 06
The Price Is Right For Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI) Even After Diving 41%
The Genius Sports Limited ( NYSE:GENI ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial...Narrative Update • Feb 04
GENI: NFL Media And Advertising Partnerships Will Support Future Profitability
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Genius Sports to about $15.58 from $15.89. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples informed by recent research that highlights both media and advertising opportunities, alongside a more neutral stance from some new coverage.
New Narrative • Jan 25
Long-Term Sports Data Rights And In-Play Wagering Will Reshape Future Earnings Potential
Catalysts About Genius Sports Genius Sports provides official sports data, betting technology and media solutions that connect leagues, sportsbooks, brands and fans. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jan 21
GENI: NFL Media And Advertising Upside Will Support Future Profitability
Narrative update The analyst price target for Genius Sports has moved slightly higher to approximately $16. Analysts attribute this change to updated views on advertising-driven revenue opportunities related to the NFL partnership, as well as a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple.Seeking Alpha • Jan 16
Genius Sports: Compelling Ad-Tech Transition Could Unlock Margin Expansion
Summary Genius Sports is maintained at a buy rating with an $11.7 price target, implying 18% upside from current levels. GENI's Media technology segment is accelerating, growing 89% YoY in Q3, and is expected to become increasingly central to the business. Margin expansion is anticipated as ad-tech leverages existing data rights, creating higher incremental profitability. Rising sports betting taxes in US states may pose a risk to GENI’s growth, potentially impacting operator marketing budgets and ad-tech revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jan 07
GENI: Digital Gaming Shift Will Support Future Profitability Despite Execution Uncertainty
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Genius Sports from about US$15.53 to roughly US$15.72, citing updated assumptions around digital gaming growth, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the focus on digital gaming as a key long term growth driver, with the view that a large share of future industry expansion in gaming will occur online.Narrative Update • Dec 19
GENI: Long Term Digital Gaming Tailwinds Will Support Stronger Profitability Trajectory
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Genius Sports higher from approximately $15.32 to $15.53 per share, citing slightly stronger long term digital gaming growth expectations that support modestly faster revenue expansion, a marginally higher profit margin profile, and a small uplift in the stock's anticipated future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research commentary around Genius Sports remains measured, with analysts balancing a constructive long term digital gaming backdrop against ongoing execution and industry risks.Narrative Update • Dec 04
GENI: Expanding Sports Data Rights Portfolio Will Support Long Term Profitability
The analyst price target for Genius Sports has been raised by approximately $0.55 per share to reflect analysts' expectations for faster revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a more attractive valuation multiple supported by recent initiations and target hikes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a generally constructive but differentiated view on Genius Sports, with optimism around long term growth and profitability tempered by some caution on execution and market dynamics.Analysis Article • Nov 20
Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
Genius Sports Limited ( NYSE:GENI ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with...Analysis Article • Aug 29
Market Participants Recognise Genius Sports Limited's (NYSE:GENI) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Higher
Genius Sports Limited ( NYSE:GENI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month...Analysis Article • Aug 09
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI) Price Target To US$14.35
Investors in Genius Sports Limited ( NYSE:GENI ) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.1% to close at US$12.39...Narrative Update • Aug 07
Global Sports Betting Trends Will Unlock Enduring Market Opportunities
Genius Sports’ consensus price target was revised upward to $14.00, primarily driven by a notable improvement in net profit margin and a substantial decline in future P/E, signaling stronger profitability and a more attractive valuation. What's in the News Genius Sports Limited raised its 2025 earnings guidance, now expecting approximately $645 million in group revenue (26% YoY growth), driven by robust commercial performance and major new partnership wins (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jul 21
Is Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI) Potentially Undervalued?
Genius Sports Limited ( NYSE:GENI ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 22...
New Narrative • May 04
AI Investment And BetVision Expansion Will Shape Future Markets
Strong balance sheet and cash flow flexibility support growth initiatives, potentially boosting margins and earnings.Analysis Article • Apr 30
Is Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI) Trading At A 40% Discount?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Genius Sports is US$18.10 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Genius...Analysis Article • Mar 28
Genius Sports Limited's (NYSE:GENI) 30% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Genius Sports Limited ( NYSE:GENI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Seeking Alpha • Mar 09
Genius Sports: Great Business, Tough Valuation
Summary Genius Sports excels in real-time sports data and betting, showing strong revenue growth but faces challenges like regulatory uncertainties and dependence on sportsbooks. Impressive 2024 financials with 24% revenue growth and positive cash flow, yet high valuation and unprofitability raise concerns. Betting revenue surged 48%, driven by in-play wagering and contract renewals, but future growth may slow without constant renewals. Despite strong industry positioning, high valuation and reliance on sportsbooks suggest waiting for a more attractive entry point before investing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 27
Genius Sports Limited: A Fascinating Growth Play, But Valuation And Risks Make It A Hold
Summary Genius Sports Limited, with a market cap of $1.83 billion, is a small but innovative firm in the sports betting and media industries. The company has strong relationships with major sports leagues and sportsbooks, providing technology and data services that drive growth. Genius Sports' revenue has grown significantly, driven by Betting Technology and Media Technology segments, with improved profitability metrics and positive EBITDA. Despite its growth potential, I rate GENI stock as a solid 'hold' due to current share pricing and inherent risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 28
Betting On Growth: Genius Sports Is A Buy Despite Current Unprofitability
Summary Strong revenue growth, especially in the betting services segment, despite being unprofitable and facing a 52% YoY increase in operating expenses. I expect operating expenses to slow down over the next year, as key investments, like the GeniusIQ platform, begin generating revenue and improving margins. The fundamentals indicate a recovery in operating income and free cash flows, with management projecting significant revenue and EBITDA growth for 2024. Despite current unprofitability, favorable price action and increased institutional buying lead to my Buy rating. Conservative investors should keep an eye out for a potential pullback. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 09
Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Shareholders of Genius Sports Limited ( NYSE:GENI ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 13% to...Analysis Article • Aug 01
Genius Sports Limited's (NYSE:GENI) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce
The Genius Sports Limited ( NYSE:GENI ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain...Seeking Alpha • Jul 14
Genius Sports: Be On The Bench, Too Many Concerns
Summary Genius Sports showed strong Q1 2024 results, with revenue exceeding expectations and margins improving. There are concerns about exclusive multi-year deals with sports leagues impacting profitability and stock price. Technology is not a differentiating factor in an industry that is not very attractive. Valuation estimates $6.6 per share, with risks including margin expansion and cash management affecting value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 12
Voss Capital - Genius Sports: Highly Margin Accretive With A Long Runway
Summary Genius Sports provides live sports data to sportsbooks globally, holding official data rights to leagues like the NFL through 2028. The company's BetVision platform enables in-game bets for the NFL with high margins and potential for increased penetration in the US market. Despite consistent performance, the market remains skeptical of Genius Sports' visibility on rights costs, creating an attractive buying opportunity with potential upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 29
Genius Sports: Attractively Valued With Multiple Growth Drivers Ahead
Summary Genius Sports' shares are down more than 15% this year despite strong performance in the underlying business. Guidance for FY2024 has been already raised, and the company is likely to beat even the latest numbers. Shares are attractively valued with multiple near-term catalysts that could drive further upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| GENI | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.2% | -1.1% | -2.8% |
| 1Y | -37.4% | -8.6% | 22.8% |
Return vs Industry: GENI underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -8.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GENI underperformed the US Market which returned 23.5% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| GENI volatility | |
|---|---|
| GENI Average Weekly Movement | 11.0% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: GENI has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: GENI's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 2,000 | Mark Locke | www.geniussports.com |
Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live optical tracking, event data, and video for league’s operations; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video footage of their games; and end-to-end integrity services to sports leagues, such as full-time active monitoring technology, which uses mathematical algorithms to identify and flag suspicious betting activity in global betting markets, as well as a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services. The company also develops additional tools that help sports leagues deepen fan engagement; and digital content and gamification solutions, as well as provides consumer insights and fan intelligence services.
Genius Sports Limited Fundamentals Summary
| GENI fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$1.59b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$158.85m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$713.45m |
2.2x
P/S Ratio-10.0x
P/E RatioIs GENI overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| GENI income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$713.45m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$551.47m |
| Gross Profit | US$161.98m |
| Other Expenses | US$320.83m |
| Earnings | -US$158.85m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.59 |
| Gross Margin | 22.70% |
| Net Profit Margin | -22.27% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did GENI perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/07 09:05 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Genius Sports Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Pierre-Marie D'Ornano | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Michael Hickey | Benchmark Company |
| Michael Nichols | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |