Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT)?

NasdaqGS:HTHT
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Let's talk about the popular H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to US$38.11 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$30.93. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether H World Group's current trading price of US$33.58 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at H World Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for H World Group

What's The Opportunity In H World Group?

H World Group appears to be overvalued by 36% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$33.58 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of $24.65. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! Furthermore, H World Group’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

Can we expect growth from H World Group?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:HTHT Earnings and Revenue Growth January 30th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. H World Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 46%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? HTHT’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe HTHT should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on HTHT for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for HTHT, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into H World Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of H World Group.

If you are no longer interested in H World Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether H World Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.