H World Group Limited

NasdaqGS:HTHT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$13.1b

H World Group Valuation

Is HTHT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HTHT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: HTHT ($42.66) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($69.72)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: HTHT is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HTHT?

Key metric: As HTHT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HTHT. This is calculated by dividing HTHT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HTHT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.5x
EarningsCN¥5.04b
Market CapCN¥88.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HTHT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HTHT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average54.7x
H Hyatt Hotels
194.5x33.49%US$15.4b
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings
8.9x9.00%US$6.8b
CCL Carnival
10.2x8.94%US$31.2b
TCOM Trip.com Group
5.2x-17.85%US$24.6b
HTHT H World Group
17.5x13.28%US$13.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HTHT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (54.7x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HTHT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BYD Boyd Gaming
3.1x-58.78%US$5.59b
DHCC Diamondhead Casino
0.5xn/aUS$217.79k
No more companies available in this PE range
HTHT 17.5xIndustry Avg. 21.4xNo. of Companies20PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HTHT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (21.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HTHT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HTHT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.5x
Fair PE Ratio23.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HTHT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HTHT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$42.66
US$60.48
+41.77%
8.12%US$65.80US$43.92n/a17
Sep ’27US$46.97
US$60.48
+28.76%
8.12%US$65.80US$43.92n/a17
Aug ’27US$42.69
US$59.06
+38.34%
8.63%US$65.47US$43.70n/a17
Jul ’27US$42.44
US$59.54
+40.30%
8.54%US$65.16US$43.43n/a17
Jun ’27US$44.37
US$60.06
+35.36%
8.01%US$65.44US$43.62n/a17
May ’27US$50.92
US$60.34
+18.49%
8.53%US$65.79US$43.22n/a16
Apr ’27US$51.60
US$60.14
+16.54%
8.59%US$65.37US$42.94n/a16
Mar ’27US$54.80
US$54.32
-0.87%
12.87%US$65.62US$38.66n/a15
Feb ’27US$47.51
US$52.52
+10.55%
12.11%US$63.00US$38.14n/a15
Jan ’27US$47.05
US$51.49
+9.44%
11.77%US$62.63US$37.91n/a15
Dec ’26US$46.69
US$49.69
+6.43%
9.36%US$58.29US$37.49n/a16
Nov ’26US$38.60
US$45.20
+17.10%
9.40%US$55.45US$37.25n/a15
Oct ’26US$39.28
US$44.21
+12.54%
10.96%US$55.44US$35.88n/a14
Sep ’26US$36.85
US$43.94
+19.23%
10.82%US$55.32US$35.81US$46.9715
Aug ’26US$31.23
US$43.36
+38.85%
11.49%US$55.06US$34.44US$42.6915
Jul ’26US$33.43
US$43.68
+30.65%
11.41%US$55.42US$34.66US$42.4416
Jun ’26US$35.27
US$44.16
+25.20%
10.61%US$55.15US$34.50US$44.3716
May ’26US$34.43
US$44.80
+30.12%
11.37%US$56.81US$34.99US$50.9217
Apr ’26US$37.10
US$45.14
+21.66%
11.24%US$56.83US$34.99US$51.6016
Mar ’26US$35.89
US$43.53
+21.29%
11.76%US$50.55US$32.26US$54.8017
Feb ’26US$32.14
US$44.51
+38.50%
10.24%US$50.77US$34.97US$47.5117
Jan ’26US$33.03
US$44.53
+34.81%
9.91%US$50.44US$34.74US$47.0517
Dec ’25US$32.17
US$44.75
+39.12%
9.72%US$50.83US$35.01US$46.6918
Nov ’25US$37.62
US$45.98
+22.21%
11.58%US$54.18US$35.52US$38.6018
Oct ’25US$38.86
US$45.53
+17.18%
12.20%US$54.98US$35.63US$39.2818
Sep ’25US$30.44
US$44.67
+46.74%
13.57%US$54.42US$33.25US$36.8518
US$60.48
Fair Value
29.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/13 03:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

H World Group Limited is covered by 36 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ronald LeungBofA Global Research
Sijie LinChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Siyang WangChina International Capital Corporation Limited