Fiesta Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FRGI) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 05, 2021
NasdaqGS:FRGI
Source: Shutterstock

Most readers would already be aware that Fiesta Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FRGI) stock increased significantly by 15% over the past week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Fiesta Restaurant Group's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Fiesta Restaurant Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fiesta Restaurant Group is:

1.4% = US$2.1m ÷ US$148m (Based on the trailing twelve months to July 2021).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.01 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Fiesta Restaurant Group's Earnings Growth And 1.4% ROE

As you can see, Fiesta Restaurant Group's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 14%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Fiesta Restaurant Group's five year net income decline of 35% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Fiesta Restaurant Group's performance with the industry and found thatFiesta Restaurant Group's performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 9.1% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:FRGI Past Earnings Growth November 6th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Fiesta Restaurant Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Fiesta Restaurant Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Fiesta Restaurant Group doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Fiesta Restaurant Group. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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