Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE)?

NasdaqGS:EXPE
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Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$123 and falling to the lows of US$98.67. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Expedia Group's current trading price of US$104 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Expedia Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Expedia Group

Is Expedia Group Still Cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Expedia Group’s ratio of 16.63x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 19.66x, which means if you buy Expedia Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Expedia Group should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Expedia Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Expedia Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:EXPE Earnings and Revenue Growth September 21st 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 77% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Expedia Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? EXPE’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at EXPE? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on EXPE, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for EXPE, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Expedia Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Expedia Group, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Expedia Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.