Expedia Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:EXPE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$22.7b

Expedia Group Valuation

Is EXPE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXPE ($179.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($410.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXPE?

Key metric: As EXPE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXPE. This is calculated by dividing EXPE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXPE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.5x
EarningsUS$1.07b
Market CapUS$22.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXPE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXPE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.7x
HTHT H World Group
21.5x13.1%US$11.3b
H Hyatt Hotels
10.8x-32.6%US$14.7b
TCOM Trip.com Group
18.9x8.7%US$40.9b
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
51.8x17.6%US$60.9b
EXPE Expedia Group
21.5x15.4%US$22.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the peer average (25.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXPE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings
3.5xn/aUS$6.01m
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
EXPE 21.5xIndustry Avg. 24.4xNo. of Companies15PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXPE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXPE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.5x
Fair PE Ratio27.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXPE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$179.10
US$184.25
+2.9%
11.0%US$225.00US$145.00n/a32
Nov ’25US$159.40
US$153.88
-3.5%
13.4%US$200.00US$118.00n/a32
Oct ’25US$146.47
US$149.76
+2.2%
14.0%US$200.00US$118.00n/a33
Sep ’25US$139.09
US$149.00
+7.1%
14.2%US$200.00US$118.00n/a31
Aug ’25US$121.48
US$147.38
+21.3%
14.3%US$200.00US$118.00n/a31
Jul ’25US$122.50
US$147.35
+20.3%
14.5%US$200.00US$118.00n/a31
Jun ’25US$112.86
US$146.18
+29.5%
15.1%US$200.00US$110.00n/a32
May ’25US$133.14
US$162.23
+21.9%
12.3%US$200.00US$130.00n/a33
Apr ’25US$133.22
US$162.32
+21.8%
12.2%US$200.00US$130.00n/a33
Mar ’25US$136.84
US$162.72
+18.9%
12.1%US$200.00US$130.00n/a33
Feb ’25US$151.52
US$157.60
+4.0%
15.7%US$200.00US$115.00n/a33
Jan ’25US$151.79
US$141.43
-6.8%
19.8%US$200.00US$90.00n/a32
Dec ’24US$139.31
US$134.87
-3.2%
19.6%US$200.00US$90.00n/a32
Nov ’24US$93.27
US$125.77
+34.8%
19.0%US$200.00US$90.00US$159.4032
Oct ’24US$103.07
US$126.70
+22.9%
19.1%US$200.00US$90.00US$146.4730
Sep ’24US$109.57
US$129.37
+18.1%
19.8%US$200.00US$90.00US$139.0930
Aug ’24US$120.74
US$132.13
+9.4%
19.1%US$200.00US$90.00US$121.4831
Jul ’24US$109.39
US$129.43
+18.3%
20.5%US$200.00US$90.00US$122.5030
Jun ’24US$98.66
US$128.04
+29.8%
19.3%US$175.00US$90.00US$112.8627
May ’24US$94.42
US$131.85
+39.6%
17.2%US$175.00US$90.00US$133.1427
Apr ’24US$97.03
US$134.68
+38.8%
15.7%US$175.00US$90.00US$133.2228
Mar ’24US$106.16
US$135.00
+27.2%
15.6%US$175.00US$100.00US$136.8428
Feb ’24US$117.90
US$127.61
+8.2%
20.6%US$176.00US$85.00US$151.5228
Jan ’24US$87.60
US$128.85
+47.1%
20.0%US$176.00US$85.00US$151.7927
Dec ’23US$105.93
US$132.96
+25.5%
20.2%US$190.00US$100.00US$139.3126
Nov ’23US$95.66
US$143.88
+50.4%
21.9%US$216.00US$100.00US$93.2726

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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