Stock Analysis

How Joining ChatGPT’s App SDK As a Launch Partner Has Changed Expedia Group’s (EXPE) Investment Story

  • At OpenAI's annual developer conference, Expedia Group was announced as a launch partner for the App SDK, enabling users to access Expedia’s services directly within ChatGPT, which reaches an estimated 800 million weekly users. This collaboration highlights Expedia’s position among leading technology partners integrating with the rapidly expanding generative AI ecosystem.
  • As Expedia becomes accessible via ChatGPT, we'll explore how this milestone could influence the company's growth prospects in AI-powered travel experiences.

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Expedia Group Investment Narrative Recap

To own Expedia Group, you need confidence in the company’s ability to leverage technology-led innovations and increased AI integration to drive higher booking growth, retention, and margin expansion, even as traditional travel trends and consumer price sensitivity keep the outlook uncertain. The OpenAI partnership creates a highly visible channel for customer acquisition, but it may not meaningfully offset the risk that ongoing weakness among US consumers or in key brands like Vrbo could challenge the company’s near-term momentum.

Expedia’s launch partnership with OpenAI’s App SDK brings significant attention, but a recent product enhancement in Vrbo involving new AI-powered features and an improved guest review experience directly addresses some of the core risks tied to maintaining consumer appeal and driving retention across major brands. This move demonstrates Expedia’s ongoing commitment to improving its platform experience and operational efficiency, both of which are among the business’s most important growth drivers today.

Yet, amid this wave of AI-driven innovation, investors must watch for signs that persistent margin pressure from supplier promotions or shifting consumer behaviors…

Read the full narrative on Expedia Group (it's free!)

Expedia Group's outlook anticipates $16.9 billion in revenue and $2.1 billion in earnings by 2028. This is based on a 6.4% annual revenue growth rate and a $1.0 billion earnings increase from the current $1.1 billion.

Uncover how Expedia Group's forecasts yield a $222.00 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

EXPE Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
EXPE Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Ten fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from US$132.67 to US$423.89 per share. While community opinions vary, margin pressure due to heavy supplier-driven promotions remains a concern for Expedia’s future earnings power.

Explore 10 other fair value estimates on Expedia Group - why the stock might be worth as much as 89% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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