Is There Now An Opportunity In Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ:DNUT)?

Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ:DNUT), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$12.42 and falling to the lows of US$10.43. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Krispy Kreme's current trading price of US$10.43 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Krispy Kreme’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Krispy Kreme

What's The Opportunity In Krispy Kreme?

According to our valuation model, Krispy Kreme seems to be fairly priced at around 3.1% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Krispy Kreme today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $10.76, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Krispy Kreme’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from Krispy Kreme?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Krispy Kreme's earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in DNUT’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DNUT, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Krispy Kreme at this point in time. For example, Krispy Kreme has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in Krispy Kreme, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.