3 Stocks That May Be Trading Below Their Estimated Value

Simply Wall St

In the last week, the United States market has stayed flat, but it has shown an 11% rise over the past 12 months with earnings forecasted to grow by 14% annually. In this context of steady growth and optimistic earnings projections, identifying stocks that may be trading below their estimated value can present potential opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on market inefficiencies.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Berkshire Hills Bancorp (NYSE:BHLB)$26.27$51.5449%
Quaker Chemical (NYSE:KWR)$107.26$210.0648.9%
Super Group (SGHC) (NYSE:SGHC)$8.44$16.5449%
KBR (NYSE:KBR)$55.33$108.4049%
Horizon Bancorp (NasdaqGS:HBNC)$15.69$30.6848.9%
Insteel Industries (NYSE:IIIN)$36.65$72.2349.3%
First Reliance Bancshares (OTCPK:FSRL)$9.45$18.4948.9%
Carvana (NYSE:CVNA)$302.29$586.8948.5%
Verra Mobility (NasdaqCM:VRRM)$24.53$47.9148.8%
Mobileye Global (NasdaqGS:MBLY)$16.05$31.0748.3%

Click here to see the full list of 171 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's dive into some prime choices out of the screener.

Chagee Holdings (NasdaqGS:CHA)

Overview: Chagee Holdings Limited, with a market cap of $5.48 billion, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in China and internationally.

Operations: Chagee Holdings Limited generates revenue of CN¥12.41 billion through its restaurant operations.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.2%

Chagee Holdings is trading at US$29.16, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$55.25, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Its earnings are forecast to grow by 28.7% annually, outpacing the broader U.S. market's growth rate of 14.3%. Recent developments include a successful IPO raising over $411 million and expansion into the U.S., which could enhance revenue prospects despite shares being highly illiquid currently.

NasdaqGS:CHA Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Natera (NasdaqGS:NTRA)

Overview: Natera, Inc. is a diagnostics company that offers molecular testing services globally and has a market cap of approximately $20.93 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily generated from the development and commercialization of molecular testing services, amounting to $1.83 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 17%

Natera, trading at $154.53, is undervalued compared to its estimated fair value of $186.18. The company's revenue for Q1 2025 rose to $501.83 million from $367.74 million a year ago, with a reduced net loss of $66.94 million from the previous year's $67.6 million loss, indicating improving financial health despite ongoing losses. Natera's innovative products like Signatera and Prospera are gaining traction in medical diagnostics, enhancing future cash flow potential amidst forecasted profitability within three years.

NasdaqGS:NTRA Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Estée Lauder Companies (NYSE:EL)

Overview: The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is a global manufacturer, marketer, and seller of skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products with a market cap of approximately $23.51 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from skin care at $7.29 billion, followed by makeup at $4.33 billion, fragrance at $2.47 billion, and hair care products contributing $589 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 38.5%

Estée Lauder, trading at US$66.08, is undervalued relative to its fair value estimate of US$107.4 despite a challenging fiscal environment marked by declining sales and net income. The company faces headwinds from weak consumer sentiment in key markets like China and Korea, impacting travel retail sales. However, Estée Lauder's strategic focus on innovation and collaborations in biotechnology could drive future profitability as earnings are forecasted to grow significantly over the next three years.

NYSE:EL Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Turning Ideas Into Actions

  • Navigate through the entire inventory of 171 Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows here.
  • Got skin in the game with these stocks? Elevate how you manage them by using Simply Wall St's portfolio, where intuitive tools await to help optimize your investment outcomes.
  • Streamline your investment strategy with Simply Wall St's app for free and benefit from extensive research on stocks across all corners of the world.

Contemplating Other Strategies?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Chagee Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com