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Chagee Holdings LimitedNasdaqGS:CHA Stock Report

Market Cap US$2.1b
Share Price
US$10.48
US$11.98
12.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-66.2%
7D-1.0%
Portfolio Value
View

Chagee Holdings Limited

NasdaqGS:CHA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Chagee Holdings (CHA) Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in the People’s Republic of China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and the United States. More details

CHA fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends2/6

CHA Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 64 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Chagee Holdings Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Chagee Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$10.99
52 Week HighUS$35.42
52 Week LowUS$8.98
Beta0
1 Month Change10.01%
3 Month Change0%
1 Year Change-66.18%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-66.12%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 08

Chagee: Burden Of Proof Is High

Summary Chagee remains a hold as management shifts focus to same-store recovery over unit growth, signaling a strategic pivot. 2026 guidance suggests stabilization, not recovery, with revenue and profit expected to be broadly flat year-over-year. Recent product innovation and franchise model changes show early promise, but store-level metrics and same-store sales remain weak. Valuation multiples have likely troughed at 6x NTM PE, but upside depends on tangible evidence of demand recovery, likely not before H2 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Mar 31

Q4 Update - More teahouses, less revenue, more costs

Compared with Q4 2024, Chagee has ~15% more teahouses (7453 to 6440), and yet has 10.8% lower revenues. This is represented by average monthly GMV per teahouse dropping from 456k to 337k RMB (down 26%).
Narrative Update Dec 14

Q3 Update - Revenue sustained only by growth

Revenues did not grow in line with new teahouse openings, and average monthly GMV is down 30% from the previous year. Rate of teahouse growth per quarter is ~5%.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 08

Chagee: Burden Of Proof Is High

Summary Chagee remains a hold as management shifts focus to same-store recovery over unit growth, signaling a strategic pivot. 2026 guidance suggests stabilization, not recovery, with revenue and profit expected to be broadly flat year-over-year. Recent product innovation and franchise model changes show early promise, but store-level metrics and same-store sales remain weak. Valuation multiples have likely troughed at 6x NTM PE, but upside depends on tangible evidence of demand recovery, likely not before H2 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Mar 31

Q4 Update - More teahouses, less revenue, more costs

Compared with Q4 2024, Chagee has ~15% more teahouses (7453 to 6440), and yet has 10.8% lower revenues. This is represented by average monthly GMV per teahouse dropping from 456k to 337k RMB (down 26%).
Narrative Update Dec 14

Q3 Update - Revenue sustained only by growth

Revenues did not grow in line with new teahouse openings, and average monthly GMV is down 30% from the previous year. Rate of teahouse growth per quarter is ~5%.
Analysis Article Dec 01

Why We're Not Concerned About Chagee Holdings Limited's (NASDAQ:CHA) Share Price

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...
Analysis Article Oct 16

A Look At The Fair Value Of Chagee Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:CHA)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Chagee Holdings is US$14.53 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
New Narrative Sep 30

Cheap if able to sustain revenue, and a potential bargain if able to turn store openings into revenue growth

Conservative valuation of $24.28 based on sustained revenues of ~RMB3bn/quarter. Potential upside if growth in store openings realises additional revenue.
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Chagee Holdings' IPO Offers A Compelling PEG Proposition

Summary Chagee Holdings' IPO surged over 15%, highlighting its rapid growth with 6,440 teahouses and strong sales, making it a compelling investment for China exposure. The company’s impressive growth includes a tenfold increase in teahouses and a significant rise in per-store sales, indicating a robust business model. Chagee's historical PEG ratio of 0.081 is exceptionally low, suggesting significant growth potential nearly unmatched in the consumer discretionary sector. Despite potential risks like market saturation and changing consumer tastes, Chagee's strong earnings and international expansion prospects make CHA stock a strong buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

CHAUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-1.0%-1.3%2.1%
1Y-66.2%1.1%30.6%

Return vs Industry: CHA underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned 3.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CHA underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CHA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CHA volatility
CHA Average Weekly Movement5.7%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement7.9%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: CHA has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CHA's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20173,812Junjie Zhanginvestor.chagee.com

Chagee Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in the People’s Republic of China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and the United States. The company sells freshly made tea drinks, related raw materials, packaging, teahouse equipment, and other supplies. It also engages in supply chain product sales; brand, marketing, and management; and information technology activities.

Chagee Holdings Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Chagee Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CHA fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.09b
Earnings (TTM)US$149.76m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.90b
14.0x
P/E Ratio
1.1x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CHA income statement (TTM)
RevenueCN¥12.91b
Cost of RevenueCN¥6.99b
Gross ProfitCN¥5.92b
Other ExpensesCN¥4.90b
EarningsCN¥1.02b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)5.34
Gross Margin45.84%
Net Profit Margin7.89%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did CHA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

7.9%
Current Dividend Yield
n/a
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 20:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Chagee Holdings Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sijie LinChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Jiwei LiuCitic Securities Co., Ltd.
Ya JiangCitic Securities Co., Ltd.