Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (NASDAQ:CBRL)

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (NASDAQ:CBRL) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.072 = US$126m ÷ (US$2.2b - US$449m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2023).

Therefore, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store has an ROCE of 7.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 9.6%.

See our latest analysis for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Cracker Barrel Old Country Store here for free.

How Are Returns Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Cracker Barrel Old Country Store doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.2% from 24% five years ago. However it looks like Cracker Barrel Old Country Store might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

In Conclusion...

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 33% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

If you want to know some of the risks facing Cracker Barrel Old Country Store we've found 3 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.