Stock Analysis

Walmart's (NYSE:WMT) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

NYSE:WMT
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The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Walmart Inc.'s (NYSE:WMT) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:WMT Earnings and Revenue History March 22nd 2024

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

To properly understand Walmart's profit results, we need to consider the US$3.2b expense attributed to unusual items. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Walmart doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Walmart's Profit Performance

Because unusual items detracted from Walmart's earnings over the last year, you could argue that we can expect an improved result in the current quarter. Because of this, we think Walmart's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 21% annually, over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Walmart and you'll want to know about this.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Walmart's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Walmart is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.